{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3eaa8b40-9b7b-43e6-83d5-f523add324ff", "symbol": "EPVLD", "name": "UBS Factor MSCI EMU Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF EUR dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 94.058, "architecture_energy": 79.254, "architecture_maturity": 48.117, "architecture_confidence": 81.685, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 75.49, "upward_expansion": 90.68, "deceleration": 49.95, "rotation_down": 23.05, "downward_expansion": 12.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.977, 24.649909, 23.868214, 23.161174 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 25.35, "trend_reference": 22.310211, "distance_from_trend": 0.136251, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.93579, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.338735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.396938, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.214462, "excess_performance": 0.131578, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.136251, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064028, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.338735, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13591, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073969, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.214462, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 600, "relative_activity": 0.324702, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.106286, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.011091, "annualized_volatility": 0.113012, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.314358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.310211, "fair_value_reference": 18.93579, "structural_low": 19.455999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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23.424999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1448.8, "trend": 21.180012, "fair_value": 18.521675, "relative_strength": 6.26099, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.158543, "energy": 94.794149, "activity_lines": [ 23.117667, 22.723, 22.031771, 21.657016 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 23.91, "volume": 2996, "typical_volume": 1592.95, "trend": 21.320742, "fair_value": 18.570637, "relative_strength": 7.790865, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.837818, "energy": 96.846258, "activity_lines": [ 23.441, 22.994, 22.254778, 21.833144 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 24.264999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1535.15, "trend": 21.460401, "fair_value": 18.619468, "relative_strength": 6.188924, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.653613, "energy": 97.628135, "activity_lines": [ 23.767333, 23.287727, 22.493905, 22.023096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 24.424999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1535.15, "trend": 21.600239, "fair_value": 18.672068, "relative_strength": 4.934675, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.043214, "energy": 96.811334, "activity_lines": [ 24.055999, 23.567363, 22.732119, 22.214361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 24.389999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1513.75, "trend": 21.736249, "fair_value": 18.722665, "relative_strength": 6.074328, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.815047, "energy": 93.623564, "activity_lines": [ 24.245999, 23.794636, 22.950976, 22.394345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.535, "volume": 3793, "typical_volume": 1687.95, "trend": 21.870606, "fair_value": 18.773273, "relative_strength": 5.784219, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.233052, "energy": 93.771447, "activity_lines": [ 24.396666, 24.006181, 23.169714, 22.57491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.655001, "volume": 856, "typical_volume": 1709.35, "trend": 22.008964, "fair_value": 18.823476, "relative_strength": 6.307032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.359841, "energy": 93.795871, "activity_lines": [ 24.513333, 24.193909, 23.385524, 22.754548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.120001, "volume": 2928, "typical_volume": 1817.85, "trend": 22.158332, "fair_value": 18.879101, "relative_strength": 8.007528, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.125993, "energy": 97.333095, "activity_lines": [ 24.735334, 24.421182, 23.6275, 22.95526 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.35, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 1847.85, "trend": 22.310211, "fair_value": 18.93579, "relative_strength": 7.396938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.057829, "energy": 79.254198, "activity_lines": [ 24.977, 24.649909, 23.868214, 23.161174 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }