{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3eb6afad-1b10-46de-81a0-0e29f4b5323b",
    "symbol": "SEAC",
    "name": "UBS MSCI World Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD acc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.223,
    "architecture_energy": 57.44,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.604,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.726,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.94,
        "rotation_up": 48.43,
        "upward_expansion": 71.67,
        "deceleration": 85.49,
        "rotation_down": 27.74,
        "downward_expansion": 21.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.229668,
        36.234274,
        35.54581,
        34.707581
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 37.025002,
    "trend_reference": 33.811334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095047,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.069096,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.231331,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.774046,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.149845,
    "excess_performance": 0.085205,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095047,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04147,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.231331,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059432,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03774,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028249,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149845,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.840564,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 149311,
      "relative_activity": 1.712792,
      "balance": 1.840564,
      "dry_up": 1.237461,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020142,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.127893,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018139,
      "from_low_reference": 0.226806
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.811334,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.069096,
      "structural_low": 30.18,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.023711,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008301,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.109321,
        "worst_return": -0.019164,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.035944,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015326,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.080756,
        "worst_return": -0.185247,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.075007,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040605,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.160225,
        "worst_return": -0.076502,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.015817,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028908,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.220906,
        "worst_return": -0.094931,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08991,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.144293,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.05356,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.014373,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "fair_value": 28.94243,
        "relative_strength": 4.750756,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.693113,
        "energy": 21.750995,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.334001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 33.044998,
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        "typical_volume": 87476.45,
        "trend": 32.311633,
        "fair_value": 29.011083,
        "relative_strength": 3.782008,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.062739,
        "energy": 30.711956,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.741667,
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          32.195521
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 34.084999,
        "volume": 133740,
        "typical_volume": 87705.2,
        "trend": 32.3948,
        "fair_value": 29.085282,
        "relative_strength": 6.598949,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.401504,
        "energy": 53.413374,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.308666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 89638.9,
        "trend": 32.478133,
        "fair_value": 29.157109,
        "relative_strength": 8.47259,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.775972,
        "energy": 72.432359,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 280980,
        "typical_volume": 100632.75,
        "trend": 32.380833,
        "fair_value": 29.230667,
        "relative_strength": 5.967464,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.372676,
        "energy": 86.912846,
        "activity_lines": [
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          32.575549
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 103178.5,
        "trend": 32.465,
        "fair_value": 29.303808,
        "relative_strength": 5.877563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.902277,
        "energy": 90.627861,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.576666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 35.165001,
        "volume": 23602,
        "typical_volume": 100620.75,
        "trend": 32.586,
        "fair_value": 29.37634,
        "relative_strength": 7.173448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.840514,
        "energy": 90.021013,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.881333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 35.654999,
        "volume": 27133,
        "typical_volume": 97610.25,
        "trend": 32.713,
        "fair_value": 29.449289,
        "relative_strength": 8.929012,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.767927,
        "energy": 91.993563,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 93539.9,
        "trend": 32.885833,
        "fair_value": 29.529609,
        "relative_strength": 9.05551,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.476139,
        "energy": 94.518538,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 36.235001,
        "volume": 19879,
        "typical_volume": 89855.9,
        "trend": 33.026833,
        "fair_value": 29.606596,
        "relative_strength": 9.906566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.737483,
        "energy": 91.822857,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.920333,
          35.335,
          34.10619,
          33.572925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 36.825001,
        "volume": 11575,
        "typical_volume": 83604.85,
        "trend": 33.176333,
        "fair_value": 29.689,
        "relative_strength": 6.638277,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.17202,
        "energy": 94.403978,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.296,
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          34.443833,
          33.817968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 36.650002,
        "volume": 87061,
        "typical_volume": 84152.4,
        "trend": 33.331167,
        "fair_value": 29.768487,
        "relative_strength": 8.801934,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.807901,
        "energy": 89.901076,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.500668,
          35.982819,
          34.743072,
          34.042075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.945,
        "volume": 101658,
        "typical_volume": 83899.85,
        "trend": 33.453667,
        "fair_value": 29.842269,
        "relative_strength": 7.419811,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.963976,
        "energy": 80.466044,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.371334,
          36.063,
          34.955524,
          34.21071
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.740002,
        "volume": 81915,
        "typical_volume": 85071.6,
        "trend": 33.567167,
        "fair_value": 29.912526,
        "relative_strength": 5.424071,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.418941,
        "energy": 64.197346,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.154335,
          36.072092,
          35.131858,
          34.358215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.639999,
        "volume": 98614,
        "typical_volume": 86030.6,
        "trend": 33.682667,
        "fair_value": 29.985474,
        "relative_strength": 2.798131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.311397,
        "energy": 51.488378,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.941334,
          36.035,
          35.282405,
          34.491946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.025002,
        "volume": 149311,
        "typical_volume": 87174.05,
        "trend": 33.811334,
        "fair_value": 30.069096,
        "relative_strength": 3.774046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.22286,
        "energy": 57.439521,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.229668,
          36.234274,
          35.54581,
          34.707581
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}