{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3ebce189-a9a3-40f7-b0ec-5a73dc3c2014",
    "symbol": "CHD",
    "name": "Church & Dwight Company Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.591,
    "architecture_energy": 46.807,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.196,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.527,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.36,
        "rotation_up": 59.26,
        "upward_expansion": 80.79,
        "deceleration": 49.7,
        "rotation_down": 14.95,
        "downward_expansion": 7.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        99.790667,
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        97.550396,
        97.261021
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 103.24,
    "trend_reference": 96.943989,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064945,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 96.545727,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.069338,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.824337,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.033438,
    "excess_performance": -0.092187,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064945,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050455,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069338,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100927,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008243,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096207,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033438,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.850895,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10259878,
      "relative_activity": 1.078603,
      "balance": 1.850895,
      "dry_up": 1.004547,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049256,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.159432,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.281888
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 96.943989,
      "fair_value_reference": 96.545727,
      "structural_low": 89.756538,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.000643,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016653,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.058902,
        "worst_return": -0.101181,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.021577,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046282,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.0654,
        "worst_return": -0.099136,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.069926,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.097668,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.096948,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.004184,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.104981,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.132847,
        "worst_return": -0.141215,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.109344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9611787.65,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 9661841.8,
        "trend": 96.344058,
        "fair_value": 96.477656,
        "relative_strength": -1.871764,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.528841,
        "energy": 22.818321,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 103.24,
        "volume": 10259878,
        "typical_volume": 9512189.8,
        "trend": 96.943989,
        "fair_value": 96.545727,
        "relative_strength": -0.824337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}