{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3ed19379-4c99-4b8d-b120-048426826ac2", "symbol": "COM", "name": "DIREXION SHARES ETF TRUST AUSPICE BROAD COMMODITY STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 49.114, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.746, "architecture_energy": 55.686, "architecture_maturity": 6.048, "architecture_confidence": 58.08, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.59, "rotation_up": 70.97, "upward_expansion": 82.34, "deceleration": 50.24, "rotation_down": 11.48, "downward_expansion": 11.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.857333, 33.521376, 33.50134, 33.356082 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 33.752, "trend_reference": 32.909429, "distance_from_trend": 0.025603, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.511533, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.183802, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.222198, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.094605, "excess_performance": -0.03102, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.025603, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040826, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.183802, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041544, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0616, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094605, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.513925, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 250802, "relative_activity": 0.32871, "balance": 0.513925, "dry_up": 0.273613, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017363, "annualized_volatility": 0.097528, "from_high_reference": -0.044611, "from_low_reference": 0.252665 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.909429, "fair_value_reference": 28.511533, "structural_low": 30.550369, 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"direction": 7.759746, "energy": 17.368502, "activity_lines": [ 32.904372, 33.076736, 33.313849, 33.005769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.88, "volume": 202026, "typical_volume": 923683.5, "trend": 32.49524, "fair_value": 28.380791, "relative_strength": 1.237562, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.697725, "energy": 20.959196, "activity_lines": [ 33.249219, 33.174356, 33.3677, 33.105129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.23, "volume": 215899, "typical_volume": 901401.4, "trend": 32.637802, "fair_value": 28.425343, "relative_strength": 2.784003, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.620468, "energy": 41.501373, "activity_lines": [ 33.638, 33.343366, 33.444834, 33.217049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.825, "volume": 166329, "typical_volume": 863257.8, "trend": 32.784193, "fair_value": 28.46911, "relative_strength": 0.416833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.402016, "energy": 42.964489, "activity_lines": [ 33.801667, 33.436163, 33.476701, 33.293642 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.752, "volume": 250802, "typical_volume": 762989.35, "trend": 32.909429, "fair_value": 28.511533, "relative_strength": -3.222198, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.745683, "energy": 55.68647, "activity_lines": [ 33.857333, 33.521376, 33.50134, 33.356082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }