{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3ed31eb0-99d4-47ed-8fe7-5384d311fe8d", "symbol": "688076", "name": "Jiangsu Sinopep-Allsino Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.261, "architecture_energy": 39.465, "architecture_maturity": 85.369, "architecture_confidence": 91.442, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.55, "rotation_up": 21.96, "upward_expansion": 4.71, "deceleration": 55.3, "rotation_down": 49.12, "downward_expansion": 75.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.422667, 27.589065, 28.268831, 29.097401 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.290001, "trend_reference": 30.79359, "distance_from_trend": -0.081302, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.816127, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.210132, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.545642, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.218292, "excess_performance": -0.175088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.081302, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104819, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.210132, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104628, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.185456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049187, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.218292, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.325171, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7452686, "relative_activity": 0.779592, "balance": 0.325171, "dry_up": 0.99777, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068542, "annualized_volatility": 0.317289, "from_high_reference": -0.432839, "from_low_reference": 0.088915 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.79359, "fair_value_reference": 35.816127, "structural_low": 25.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.020907, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.042996, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.08564, "worst_return": -0.104708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.083509, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.10277, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.081511, "worst_return": -0.236776, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.152874, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.184246, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.00332, "worst_return": -0.309068, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-57.421254, "energy": 38.132591, "activity_lines": [ 28.150667, 28.187969, 28.87156, 29.957644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.33, "volume": 10190335, "typical_volume": 10243066.6, "trend": 31.505923, "fair_value": 35.772453, "relative_strength": -23.748873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.925934, "energy": 41.258302, "activity_lines": [ 27.62, 27.777036, 28.567999, 29.596316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.59, "volume": 6830427, "typical_volume": 9820171.1, "trend": 31.107256, "fair_value": 35.78705, "relative_strength": -22.392537, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.820136, "energy": 44.96224, "activity_lines": [ 27.249333, 27.496252, 28.324391, 29.279159 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.290001, "volume": 7452686, "typical_volume": 9559725.05, "trend": 30.79359, "fair_value": 35.816127, "relative_strength": -18.545642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.260945, "energy": 39.464951, "activity_lines": [ 27.422667, 27.589065, 28.268831, 29.097401 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }