{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3ed8efd8-a4af-467e-9ad0-9bf80d7447b7",
    "symbol": "CSC",
    "name": "Crown Seal Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 66.241,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 98.058,
    "architecture_energy": 96.939,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.35,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.607,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 88.67,
        "upward_expansion": 99.77,
        "deceleration": 39.08,
        "rotation_down": 9.33,
        "downward_expansion": 21.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.183333,
        44.754545,
        44.272619,
        43.949164
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 46.5,
    "trend_reference": 43.585393,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066871,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.116874,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.130923,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.404391,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.081085,
    "excess_performance": -0.11124,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066871,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015803,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130923,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056195,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074044,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05222,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081085,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 536.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 53900,
      "relative_activity": 4.194553,
      "balance": 536.0,
      "dry_up": 1.715953,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010753,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.081452,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.111797
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 43.585393,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.116874,
      "structural_low": 42.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.005155,
        "positive_rate": 0.304348,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.304348,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012378,
        "regime_survival": 0.695652,
        "best_return": 0.062857,
        "worst_return": -0.044199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.001618,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01852,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.028571,
        "worst_return": -0.027473,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.008032,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031973,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.04,
        "worst_return": -0.014034,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.021336,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.058035,
        "worst_return": -0.042781,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.003925,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.136924,
        "energy": 35.894691,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.533333,
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          42.888337,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 42.25,
        "volume": 8000,
        "typical_volume": 10920.0,
        "trend": 42.815658,
        "fair_value": 40.675221,
        "relative_strength": -15.507153,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.728181,
        "energy": 47.638242,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.416667,
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          42.834543,
          42.803618
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 43.75,
        "volume": 37000,
        "typical_volume": 12470.0,
        "trend": 42.840246,
        "fair_value": 40.707975,
        "relative_strength": -12.62639,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.570022,
        "energy": 11.393635,
        "activity_lines": [
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          42.863898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 44.0,
        "volume": 26500,
        "typical_volume": 13415.0,
        "trend": 42.865246,
        "fair_value": 40.738227,
        "relative_strength": -12.844539,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.626599,
        "energy": 32.196759,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 44.0,
        "volume": 9200,
        "typical_volume": 13705.0,
        "trend": 42.882325,
        "fair_value": 40.768478,
        "relative_strength": -13.681004,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.307374,
        "energy": 55.450939,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.616667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 44.0,
        "volume": 6800,
        "typical_volume": 13765.0,
        "trend": 42.907325,
        "fair_value": 40.79873,
        "relative_strength": -14.893359,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.169003,
        "energy": 65.381145,
        "activity_lines": [
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          43.084039
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 44.0,
        "volume": 6100,
        "typical_volume": 13720.0,
        "trend": 42.940246,
        "fair_value": 40.826244,
        "relative_strength": -15.171778,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.605533,
        "energy": 72.865955,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.983333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.25,
        "volume": 1800,
        "typical_volume": 13330.0,
        "trend": 43.005265,
        "fair_value": 40.853993,
        "relative_strength": -14.741856,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 13255.0,
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        "fair_value": 40.885847,
        "relative_strength": -13.004548,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 77.46575,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 44.0,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 13185.0,
        "trend": 43.119047,
        "fair_value": 40.918835,
        "relative_strength": -11.224463,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.241678,
        "energy": 69.339391,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.116667,
          43.972727,
          43.555952,
          43.379832
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 44.25,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 12895.0,
        "trend": 43.168223,
        "fair_value": 40.947953,
        "relative_strength": -13.943625,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.864913,
        "energy": 69.179373,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.166667,
          44.072727,
          43.639345,
          43.452797
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 44.25,
        "volume": 11600,
        "typical_volume": 13325.0,
        "trend": 43.241162,
        "fair_value": 40.979807,
        "relative_strength": -13.90298,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.977329,
        "energy": 54.822236,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.2,
          44.140909,
          43.719106,
          43.522589
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 44.25,
        "volume": 9800,
        "typical_volume": 13585.0,
        "trend": 43.306181,
        "fair_value": 41.010292,
        "relative_strength": -14.3517,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.770917,
        "energy": 46.373126,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.216667,
          44.172727,
          43.794106,
          43.587676
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.5,
        "volume": 19000,
        "typical_volume": 13630.0,
        "trend": 43.379532,
        "fair_value": 41.041012,
        "relative_strength": -13.656022,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.161098,
        "energy": 50.327576,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.316667,
          44.240909,
          43.889286,
          43.664696
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.75,
        "volume": 5500,
        "typical_volume": 10680.0,
        "trend": 43.461217,
        "fair_value": 41.071966,
        "relative_strength": -11.780697,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.524987,
        "energy": 56.059985,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.483333,
          44.345455,
          44.00119,
          43.753113
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.5,
        "volume": 53900,
        "typical_volume": 12850.0,
        "trend": 43.585393,
        "fair_value": 41.116874,
        "relative_strength": -7.404391,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 98.058076,
        "energy": 96.938728,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.183333,
          44.754545,
          44.272619,
          43.949164
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}