{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3ee47845-d765-491f-9d89-621dc960f075", "symbol": "SOUN", "name": "SoundHound AI Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.448, "architecture_energy": 20.788, "architecture_maturity": 29.656, "architecture_confidence": 73.441, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.73, "rotation_up": 23.97, "upward_expansion": 15.78, "deceleration": 59.58, "rotation_down": 43.58, "downward_expansion": 68.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.818667, 6.714909, 7.178905, 7.331247 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.02, "trend_reference": 7.708, "distance_from_trend": 0.040477, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.996122, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002986, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.627566, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.063084, "excess_performance": -0.250538, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040477, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179156, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002986, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157229, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.336276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012361, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063084, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.57115, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238985744, "relative_activity": 1.668018, "balance": 0.57115, "dry_up": 1.397933, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142036, "annualized_volatility": 0.794844, "from_high_reference": -0.63825, "from_low_reference": 0.419444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.708, "fair_value_reference": 7.996122, "structural_low": 5.6501, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.064122, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.05055, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 2.55, "worst_return": -0.242982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.076087, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.245724, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.647059, "worst_return": -0.247863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.087578, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.082561, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.445652, "worst_return": -0.403679, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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6.729333, 7.327636, 7.557238, 7.813527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.64, "volume": 144989516, "typical_volume": 133604423.85, "trend": 8.291, "fair_value": 7.887404, "relative_strength": -48.08155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.053005, "energy": 58.446138, "activity_lines": [ 6.651333, 7.109636, 7.465286, 7.696237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.27, "volume": 170904548, "typical_volume": 132767444.8, "trend": 8.132667, "fair_value": 7.907276, "relative_strength": -48.059631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.757207, "energy": 60.482726, "activity_lines": [ 6.5, 6.877455, 7.343714, 7.565849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.16, "volume": 198324667, "typical_volume": 136516415.85, "trend": 7.981333, "fair_value": 7.931314, "relative_strength": -47.459256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.28836, "energy": 55.489126, "activity_lines": [ 6.354, 6.672727, 7.222762, 7.438581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.13, "volume": 192942445, "typical_volume": 139900555.05, "trend": 7.832333, "fair_value": 7.957147, "relative_strength": -47.445842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.359332, "energy": 51.822245, "activity_lines": [ 6.262, 6.503455, 7.108048, 7.31914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.02, "volume": 238985744, "typical_volume": 143275311.2, "trend": 7.708, "fair_value": 7.996122, "relative_strength": -33.627566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.447838, "energy": 20.788199, "activity_lines": [ 6.818667, 6.714909, 7.178905, 7.331247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }