{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3f032c11-4506-4cf0-a05f-5c8ac93666bc",
    "symbol": "YMM",
    "name": "Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 90.181,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 42.418,
    "architecture_energy": 57.105,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.257,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.435,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.04,
        "rotation_up": 70.13,
        "upward_expansion": 57.64,
        "deceleration": 25.98,
        "rotation_down": 16.25,
        "downward_expansion": 18.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.372667,
        8.935926,
        8.721525,
        8.705067
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 9.63,
    "trend_reference": 8.82907,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090715,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 9.239552,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042258,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -16.250389,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.019456,
    "excess_performance": -0.145081,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090715,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089151,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042258,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068716,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162504,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123297,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019456,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.557702,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26600332,
      "relative_activity": 0.725155,
      "balance": 1.557702,
      "dry_up": 0.892672,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071451,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.290517,
      "from_high_reference": -0.303038,
      "from_low_reference": 0.304745
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.82907,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.239552,
      "structural_low": 7.380751,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0875,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026705,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.229899,
        "worst_return": -0.108674,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.03325,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026804,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.127524,
        "worst_return": -0.04875,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.022406,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039283,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.290202,
        "worst_return": -0.2225,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.342669,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.173826,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.809087,
        "worst_return": -0.12375,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046729,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.276006,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.170489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.068303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.034387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.267839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.15923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.067351,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.204755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.015859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.179373,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030402,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -13.689709,
        "energy": 7.786618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 38793057.95,
        "trend": 8.908517,
        "fair_value": 9.202218,
        "relative_strength": -17.199674,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 3.896101,
        "energy": 17.972503,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.49,
        "volume": 38395131,
        "typical_volume": 37866922.6,
        "trend": 8.85359,
        "fair_value": 9.218693,
        "relative_strength": -15.139123,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.633456,
        "energy": 34.076334,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.63,
        "volume": 26600332,
        "typical_volume": 36682290.1,
        "trend": 8.82907,
        "fair_value": 9.239552,
        "relative_strength": -16.250389,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.418038,
        "energy": 57.104664,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}