{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f05bd05-cb1f-49d3-a71d-5e7a80a83b51", "symbol": "CCI", "name": "Crown Castle", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.524, "architecture_energy": 60.519, "architecture_maturity": 14.289, "architecture_confidence": 82.333, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.4, "rotation_up": 11.59, "upward_expansion": 11.49, "deceleration": 41.15, "rotation_down": 73.4, "downward_expansion": 89.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.39, 78.347114, 82.185848, 83.23698 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 75.59, "trend_reference": 84.327424, "distance_from_trend": -0.103613, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 90.849557, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.167965, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.570334, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.042727, "excess_performance": -0.168352, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103613, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019715, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.167965, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142933, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.225703, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101621, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.042727, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.862898, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26404148, "relative_activity": 1.381617, "balance": 0.862898, "dry_up": 1.204442, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081496, "annualized_volatility": 0.336878, "from_high_reference": -0.242803, "from_low_reference": 0.084194 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 84.327424, "fair_value_reference": 90.849557, "structural_low": 69.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.013145, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.419355, "median_excess_return": 0.007648, "regime_survival": 0.741935, "best_return": 0.206408, "worst_return": -0.195692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.038102, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.028269, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.26548, "worst_return": -0.146204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.030048, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.025946, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.25038, "worst_return": -0.201312, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -19.836763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.996912, "energy": 68.841786, "activity_lines": [ 76.968667, 79.624551, 82.991298, 83.813798 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.59, "volume": 26404148, "typical_volume": 19111041.1, "trend": 84.327424, "fair_value": 90.849557, "relative_strength": -22.570334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.524067, "energy": 60.518799, "activity_lines": [ 76.39, 78.347114, 82.185848, 83.23698 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }