{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f20d47c-3216-4ffb-a521-8205769d0ee1", "symbol": "MALEE", "name": "Malee Group Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 84.979, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.02, "architecture_energy": 16.902, "architecture_maturity": 55.471, "architecture_confidence": 57.978, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.45, "rotation_up": 21.24, "upward_expansion": 12.37, "deceleration": 40.52, "rotation_down": 31.13, "downward_expansion": 57.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.068, 4.066182, 4.075714, 4.115871 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.08, "trend_reference": 4.151333, "distance_from_trend": -0.017183, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.639558, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.465938, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.904789, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0625, "excess_performance": -0.129825, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017183, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004841, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.465938, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016509, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209048, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091516, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0625, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.463204, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2947700, "relative_activity": 0.781546, "balance": 1.463204, "dry_up": 0.812925, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035445, "annualized_volatility": 0.275799, "from_high_reference": -0.367442, "from_low_reference": 0.228916 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.151333, "fair_value_reference": 7.639558, "structural_low": 3.84, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.007463, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.018707, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.434483, "worst_return": -0.27027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.064286, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.074177, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.387755, "worst_return": -0.236486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.117507, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.052872, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.537415, "worst_return": -0.464865, 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"2026-08-07", "close": 4.08, "volume": 2947700, "typical_volume": 3771625.0, "trend": 4.151333, "fair_value": 7.639558, "relative_strength": -20.904789, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.020346, "energy": 16.902325, "activity_lines": [ 4.068, 4.066182, 4.075714, 4.115871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }