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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.617, "architecture_energy": 88.913, "architecture_maturity": 59.263, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.01, "rotation_up": 59.82, "upward_expansion": 97.67, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 29.9, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4680.0, 4644.962722, 4514.492507, 4370.553212 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4680.0, "trend_reference": 4147.879655, "distance_from_trend": 0.128287, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3246.333185, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.441627, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 19.91908, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.321201, "excess_performance": 0.375868, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.128287, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091802, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.441627, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034244, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.199191, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040695, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.321201, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 35.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 35.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010628, "annualized_volatility": 0.411175, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.459492 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4147.879655, "fair_value_reference": 3246.333185, "structural_low": 3588.20874, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.689404, "energy": 89.364951, "activity_lines": [ 4666.158659, 4601.424174, 4452.559406, 4294.552082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4680.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 433.95, "trend": 4109.954044, "fair_value": 3232.081793, "relative_strength": 20.506161, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.954547, "energy": 88.918423, "activity_lines": [ 4679.212663, 4625.747994, 4486.123079, 4333.776054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4680.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 410.0, "trend": 4147.879655, "fair_value": 3246.333185, "relative_strength": 19.91908, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.616951, "energy": 88.912748, "activity_lines": [ 4680.0, 4644.962722, 4514.492507, 4370.553212 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }