{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3f26afa8-4935-466c-b2e0-aa11c0cd23bf",
    "symbol": "XDG",
    "name": "iShares Core MSCI Global Quality Dividend Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.524,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.918,
    "architecture_energy": 57.957,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.793,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.646,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.38,
        "rotation_up": 58.84,
        "upward_expansion": 82.8,
        "deceleration": 66.44,
        "rotation_down": 22.81,
        "downward_expansion": 9.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.861377,
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        33.022771,
        32.565358
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 34.035,
    "trend_reference": 32.053642,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061814,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.21127,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.250769,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.089616,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.068695,
    "excess_performance": -0.051727,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061814,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03872,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250769,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059559,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020896,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03744,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068695,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.192276,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30300,
      "relative_activity": 0.547673,
      "balance": 1.192276,
      "dry_up": 0.940804,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02194,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.133155,
      "from_high_reference": -0.017465,
      "from_low_reference": 0.223764
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.053642,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.21127,
      "structural_low": 29.944073,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.010669,
        "positive_rate": 0.604651,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.604651,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000426,
        "regime_survival": 0.790698,
        "best_return": 0.059109,
        "worst_return": -0.055992,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.02159,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.070644,
        "worst_return": -0.057369,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.058836,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009713,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.068428,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.005783,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-10-20",
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        "return": -0.003527,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 90865.0,
        "trend": 30.858798,
        "fair_value": 26.476301,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 86960.0,
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        "fair_value": 26.544803,
        "relative_strength": -2.907856,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 84460.0,
        "trend": 31.061309,
        "fair_value": 26.615824,
        "relative_strength": -2.294983,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.281374,
        "energy": 80.890158,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 26.761096,
        "relative_strength": -1.594557,
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        "direction": 80.878358,
        "energy": 85.728844,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.44421,
        "volume": 5400,
        "typical_volume": 70665.0,
        "trend": 31.417417,
        "fair_value": 26.84397,
        "relative_strength": 1.629661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 94.74454,
        "energy": 96.240119,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.52623,
        "volume": 59700,
        "typical_volume": 66070.0,
        "trend": 31.539816,
        "fair_value": 26.91828,
        "relative_strength": -1.090688,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.072778,
        "energy": 84.265316,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.396515,
        "volume": 90000,
        "typical_volume": 63200.0,
        "trend": 31.657226,
        "fair_value": 26.989264,
        "relative_strength": -1.233494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.3876,
        "energy": 76.110771,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.552611,
          33.185406,
          32.491323,
          32.147363
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.875462,
        "volume": 35800,
        "typical_volume": 57570.0,
        "trend": 31.790268,
        "fair_value": 27.061993,
        "relative_strength": 0.003396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.049913,
        "energy": 70.412674,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.703839,
          33.374908,
          32.675358,
          32.290475
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.950001,
        "volume": 52100,
        "typical_volume": 56675.0,
        "trend": 31.934044,
        "fair_value": 27.136969,
        "relative_strength": 0.72803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.438196,
        "energy": 58.68588,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.795871,
          33.536806,
          32.852404,
          32.429813
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.035,
        "volume": 30300,
        "typical_volume": 55325.0,
        "trend": 32.053642,
        "fair_value": 27.21127,
        "relative_strength": -2.089616,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.918262,
        "energy": 57.95749,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.861377,
          33.684622,
          33.022771,
          32.565358
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}