{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f2b2382-345d-48ea-b908-ff4330f9811c", "symbol": "688339", "name": "Beijing SinoHytec Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.419, "architecture_energy": 69.868, "architecture_maturity": 53.845, "architecture_confidence": 92.708, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 20.49, "upward_expansion": 13.73, "deceleration": 46.35, "rotation_down": 67.27, "downward_expansion": 89.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.178, 17.9, 20.055524, 22.176064 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.799999, "trend_reference": 25.135, "distance_from_trend": -0.291824, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.543709, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.329408, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.856686, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.424507, "excess_performance": -0.381303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.291824, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130778, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.329408, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222269, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.424507, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.62072, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12578489, "relative_activity": 0.675801, "balance": 0.62072, "dry_up": 0.872338, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108168, "annualized_volatility": 0.473796, "from_high_reference": -0.507062, "from_low_reference": 0.149128 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.135, "fair_value_reference": 26.543709, "structural_low": 15.49, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.000253, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": -0.007324, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.245165, "worst_return": -0.304494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.09145, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.03557, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.319536, "worst_return": -0.34684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.092677, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.053087, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.421651, "worst_return": -0.357201, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.60468, "energy": 83.757775, "activity_lines": [ 18.416666, 19.508363, 21.815476, 23.893011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.120001, "volume": 19586418, "typical_volume": 21858812.45, "trend": 25.804333, "fair_value": 26.917958, "relative_strength": -36.986863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.93333, "energy": 81.978065, "activity_lines": [ 17.510667, 18.646364, 21.070762, 23.242817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.91, "volume": 13452020, "typical_volume": 20355107.15, "trend": 25.440333, "fair_value": 26.728645, "relative_strength": -33.812533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.787938, "energy": 70.64125, "activity_lines": [ 17.120667, 18.118545, 20.483095, 22.668989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.799999, "volume": 12578489, "typical_volume": 18612718.15, "trend": 25.135, "fair_value": 26.543709, "relative_strength": -31.856686, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.419101, "energy": 69.868153, "activity_lines": [ 17.178, 17.9, 20.055524, 22.176064 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }