{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3f2da665-a336-4417-bc7b-ab660215a798",
    "symbol": "688199",
    "name": "Tianjin Jiuri New Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 76.893,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.503,
    "architecture_energy": 66.05,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.962,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.115,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.8,
        "rotation_up": 10.73,
        "upward_expansion": 14.7,
        "deceleration": 37.92,
        "rotation_down": 72.34,
        "downward_expansion": 83.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.139333,
        24.983935,
        26.523914,
        26.700477
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 23.51,
    "trend_reference": 26.8541,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.124528,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.599855,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.199499,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.670955,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.127967,
    "excess_performance": -0.084763,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124528,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036709,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.199499,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.290357,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09671,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.148102,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127967,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.092003,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 25196632,
      "relative_activity": 1.090451,
      "balance": 1.092003,
      "dry_up": 1.447621,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.160033,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.635572,
      "from_high_reference": -0.322283,
      "from_low_reference": 0.303938
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.8541,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.599855,
      "structural_low": 18.030001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.03151,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014591,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.124521,
        "worst_return": -0.015234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021734,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03849,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.174617,
        "worst_return": -0.008767,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.126965,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023222,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.223199,
        "worst_return": -0.127077,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.102837,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028733,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.091228,
        "worst_return": -0.114446,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.07967,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.071947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.364032,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.107809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.19591,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.457731,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.096825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.091904,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.143403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.187002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.015819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.08441,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 21462102.4,
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        "fair_value": 19.569292,
        "relative_strength": -13.530413,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.520596,
        "energy": 3.532538,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 22011627.95,
        "trend": 27.008766,
        "fair_value": 19.571843,
        "relative_strength": -20.225406,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.027831,
        "energy": 37.615251,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.370001,
        "volume": 33110363,
        "typical_volume": 22723190.95,
        "trend": 26.8561,
        "fair_value": 19.574473,
        "relative_strength": -19.733676,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -45.441401,
        "energy": 52.210387,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.473333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.51,
        "volume": 25196632,
        "typical_volume": 23106621.05,
        "trend": 26.8541,
        "fair_value": 19.599855,
        "relative_strength": -9.670955,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.50344,
        "energy": 66.050215,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}