{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f2ef3cf-40fc-4294-b94e-889562348f29", "symbol": "AIGC", "name": "WisdomTree Broad Commodities", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.065, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.679, "architecture_energy": 37.249, "architecture_maturity": 34.472, "architecture_confidence": 44.286, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.57, "rotation_up": 65.55, "upward_expansion": 67.94, "deceleration": 63.83, "rotation_down": 9.33, "downward_expansion": 11.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.6448, 13.403455, 13.475248, 13.399234 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.538, "trend_reference": 13.1146, "distance_from_trend": 0.032285, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.888897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.243285, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.227631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.15217, "excess_performance": -0.018722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.032285, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064779, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.243285, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064642, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119641, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.15217, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.284818, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20833, "relative_activity": 0.300828, "balance": 0.284818, "dry_up": 0.772661, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033603, "annualized_volatility": 0.226416, "from_high_reference": -0.070192, "from_low_reference": 0.39567 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.1146, "fair_value_reference": 10.888897, "structural_low": 11.4, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"2026-07-17", "close": 13.572, "volume": 26750, "typical_volume": 82879.6, "trend": 12.841533, "fair_value": 10.820526, "relative_strength": 0.78927, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.197301, "energy": 19.828365, "activity_lines": [ 13.101467, 13.190182, 13.410305, 13.243213 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.048, "volume": 53422, "typical_volume": 81598.35, "trend": 12.945933, "fair_value": 10.844756, "relative_strength": 4.310247, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.261889, "energy": 27.710718, "activity_lines": [ 13.4516, 13.309382, 13.464343, 13.321049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.66, "volume": 113029, "typical_volume": 80360.7, "trend": 13.0402, "fair_value": 10.867359, "relative_strength": 0.628609, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.021894, "energy": 34.112463, "activity_lines": [ 13.6016, 13.363127, 13.475333, 13.367118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.538, "volume": 20833, "typical_volume": 69252.2, "trend": 13.1146, "fair_value": 10.888897, "relative_strength": -3.227631, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.678821, "energy": 37.249208, "activity_lines": [ 13.6448, 13.403455, 13.475248, 13.399234 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }