{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f30795c-4157-41f8-b3db-221734f65da2", "symbol": "2424", "name": "Lung Hwa Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.523, "architecture_energy": 84.24, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 29.88, "upward_expansion": 20.78, "deceleration": 37.69, "rotation_down": 55.46, "downward_expansion": 94.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.610667, 9.048, 11.433048, 15.179011 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.86, "trend_reference": 20.856, "distance_from_trend": -0.575182, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.095385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.799072, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -82.812411, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.757923, "excess_performance": -1.199296, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.575182, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.30757, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.799072, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254276, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.828124, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091962, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.757923, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.237287, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74311, "relative_activity": 0.1027, "balance": 0.237287, "dry_up": 0.192493, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.20316, "annualized_volatility": 0.741666, "from_high_reference": -0.893253, "from_low_reference": 0.213699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.856, "fair_value_reference": 44.095385, "structural_low": 7.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.03139, "positive_rate": 0.322581, "directional_follow_through": 0.677419, "median_excess_return": -0.059231, "regime_survival": 0.870968, "best_return": 0.213592, "worst_return": -0.337662, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.037975, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.166885, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.562284, "worst_return": -0.639515, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.062284, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.089423, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.843585, "worst_return": -0.53013, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 8.43, "volume": 216594, "typical_volume": 811617.95, "trend": 23.506333, "fair_value": 44.88359, "relative_strength": -84.742128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.50409, "energy": 73.758487, "activity_lines": [ 9.251333, 9.978, 13.716857, 17.887075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.2, "volume": 208224, "typical_volume": 805277.1, "trend": 22.546333, "fair_value": 44.618526, "relative_strength": -84.389931, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.235386, "energy": 68.551068, "activity_lines": [ 8.784, 9.500909, 12.821667, 16.89957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.63, "volume": 58000, "typical_volume": 774757.25, "trend": 21.612333, "fair_value": 44.327051, "relative_strength": -83.32134, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.498165, "energy": 66.368786, "activity_lines": [ 8.606667, 9.218364, 12.071952, 16.001742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.86, "volume": 74311, "typical_volume": 723572.2, "trend": 20.856, "fair_value": 44.095385, "relative_strength": -82.812411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.522602, "energy": 84.239693, "activity_lines": [ 8.610667, 9.048, 11.433048, 15.179011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }