{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f3c908b-61db-41e8-84da-07a3ccf0bbc9", "symbol": "AFJK", "name": "Aimei Health Technology Co., Ltd Ordinary Share", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.891, "architecture_energy": 87.414, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.596, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.19, "rotation_up": 9.11, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 79.47, "downward_expansion": 97.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.075353, 17.005469, 26.187437, 29.632243 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.2, "trend_reference": 34.85467, "distance_from_trend": -0.649975, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.655662, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.309004, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -62.418336, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.748246, "excess_performance": -0.9357, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.649975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074057, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.309004, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.865097, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.624183, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.095986, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.748246, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.52249, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83755, "relative_activity": 0.869255, "balance": 0.52249, "dry_up": 1.246554, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.557699, "annualized_volatility": 1.682934, "from_high_reference": -0.90642, "from_low_reference": 0.807407 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.85467, "fair_value_reference": 17.655662, "structural_low": 11.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.038613, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.035195, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.038613, "worst_return": -0.038613, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.110611, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 2.383099, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.100863, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.492292, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.20299, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.404105, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038613, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 10.17, "volume": 2139634, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 10.17, "volume": 1084617, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, 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-57.307694, "energy": 48.907025, "activity_lines": [ 30.048, 34.212364, 36.656238, 38.44729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.69, "volume": 284369, "typical_volume": 79600.3, "trend": 40.687667, "fair_value": 17.831031, "relative_strength": -61.224801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.484496, "energy": 73.52979, "activity_lines": [ 23.528667, 29.735091, 34.413048, 36.604473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.0, "volume": 127303, "typical_volume": 84059.1, "trend": 39.886667, "fair_value": 17.786177, "relative_strength": -61.69788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.046586, "energy": 84.898095, "activity_lines": [ 18.626667, 25.741273, 32.224381, 34.753656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.7601, "volume": 116708, "typical_volume": 88053.55, "trend": 38.811337, "fair_value": 17.740176, "relative_strength": -61.812167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.653088, "energy": 88.881333, "activity_lines": [ 15.045367, 22.261473, 30.109581, 32.939039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.04, "volume": 152669, "typical_volume": 93886.65, "trend": 36.684003, "fair_value": 17.696993, "relative_strength": -61.067423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.762849, "energy": 89.600386, "activity_lines": [ 13.04136, 19.364198, 28.10858, 31.211856 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.2, "volume": 83755, "typical_volume": 96352.6, "trend": 34.85467, "fair_value": 17.655662, "relative_strength": -62.418336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.891463, "energy": 87.414411, "activity_lines": [ 12.075353, 17.005469, 26.187437, 29.632243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }