{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f4b38a5-590b-4fd5-99b2-0e74938250c1", "symbol": "T6I", "name": "ValueMax Group Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 58.247, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.052, "architecture_energy": 22.853, "architecture_maturity": 41.322, "architecture_confidence": 87.329, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.83, "rotation_up": 24.98, "upward_expansion": 14.37, "deceleration": 43.96, "rotation_down": 34.54, "downward_expansion": 64.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.957667, 0.952, 0.972214, 0.993165 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.955, "trend_reference": 1.019658, "distance_from_trend": -0.063411, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.584518, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.633825, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.661159, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.133762, "excess_performance": -0.288598, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063411, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007005, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.633825, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.394089, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176612, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293873, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133762, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.030066, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1544400, "relative_activity": 1.046295, "balance": 1.030066, "dry_up": 1.31732, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060814, "annualized_volatility": 0.357278, "from_high_reference": -0.269516, "from_low_reference": 0.36924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.019658, "fair_value_reference": 0.584518, "structural_low": 0.875, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.010753, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.009602, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.044778, "worst_return": -0.031744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.030303, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.008687, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.083335, "worst_return": -0.062502, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.015624, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.034394, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.060607, "worst_return": 0.014289, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.888364, "energy": 60.488383, "activity_lines": [ 0.94, 0.954545, 0.989438, 1.008893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.935, "volume": 475800, "typical_volume": 1526300.0, "trend": 1.017632, "fair_value": 0.571265, "relative_strength": -16.499882, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.776952, "energy": 59.58963, "activity_lines": [ 0.937, 0.947636, 0.982302, 1.003569 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.0, "volume": 4644100, "typical_volume": 1465990.0, "trend": 1.018932, "fair_value": 0.575907, "relative_strength": -12.06427, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.468058, "energy": 28.525952, "activity_lines": [ 0.958333, 0.955, 0.982108, 1.002432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.94, "volume": 1113500, "typical_volume": 1439655.0, "trend": 1.019695, "fair_value": 0.580137, "relative_strength": -17.941167, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.158082, "energy": 26.093279, "activity_lines": [ 0.957, 0.951818, 0.976269, 0.997339 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.955, "volume": 1544400, "typical_volume": 1476065.0, "trend": 1.019658, "fair_value": 0.584518, "relative_strength": -17.661159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.0519, "energy": 22.853206, "activity_lines": [ 0.957667, 0.952, 0.972214, 0.993165 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }