{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f4cad02-85f9-4fb2-bed0-d467558ec55a", "symbol": "3689", "name": "U.D. Electronic Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.198, "architecture_energy": 34.493, "architecture_maturity": 11.69, "architecture_confidence": 56.923, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.1, "rotation_up": 21.89, "upward_expansion": 13.43, "deceleration": 49.35, "rotation_down": 51.7, "downward_expansion": 50.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 106.157759, 108.332046, 113.933721, 114.84226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 109.5, "trend_reference": 114.794731, "distance_from_trend": -0.046123, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.546612, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295144, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.849429, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021997, "excess_performance": -0.419375, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046123, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018095, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295144, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168888, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.278494, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039264, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021997, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.053374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5686910, "relative_activity": 0.340733, "balance": 2.053374, "dry_up": 0.356047, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118438, "annualized_volatility": 0.588241, "from_high_reference": -0.223002, "from_low_reference": 0.259065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.794731, "fair_value_reference": 84.546612, "structural_low": 92.181694, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"close": 102.316856, "volume": 7482399, "typical_volume": 18626611.65, "trend": 115.669526, "fair_value": 83.143476, "relative_strength": -30.123706, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.414168, "energy": 33.087431, "activity_lines": [ 111.840689, 115.725101, 118.581374, 117.397641 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 104.24736, "volume": 4266038, "typical_volume": 18177299.7, "trend": 115.894752, "fair_value": 83.532452, "relative_strength": -29.864929, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.033859, "energy": 39.509889, "activity_lines": [ 108.880578, 113.197893, 117.292071, 116.660727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 101.351601, "volume": 6753781, "typical_volume": 18104767.25, "trend": 115.573001, "fair_value": 83.876254, "relative_strength": -30.362081, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.741352, "energy": 49.1113, "activity_lines": [ 105.791767, 110.337233, 115.717789, 115.722459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.5, "volume": 7063326, "typical_volume": 16958079.35, "trend": 115.070095, "fair_value": 84.206807, "relative_strength": -27.340638, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.563273, "energy": 47.804631, "activity_lines": [ 105.235049, 108.91914, 114.717577, 115.201621 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 109.5, "volume": 5686910, "typical_volume": 16690237.6, "trend": 114.794731, "fair_value": 84.546612, "relative_strength": -27.849429, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.197949, "energy": 34.493014, "activity_lines": [ 106.157759, 108.332046, 113.933721, 114.84226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }