{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f54e927-2a4b-48aa-a097-9299319be55c", "symbol": "TTMI", "name": "TTM Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 91.168, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.914, "architecture_energy": 30.275, "architecture_maturity": 41.35, "architecture_confidence": 49.138, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.79, "rotation_up": 14.22, "upward_expansion": 20.94, "deceleration": 66.34, "rotation_down": 61.32, "downward_expansion": 36.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 130.165333, 145.743273, 155.438, 146.544624 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 137.21, "trend_reference": 133.064333, "distance_from_trend": 0.031155, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.127019, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.850997, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.770728, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.391864, "excess_performance": 0.204411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031155, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.287184, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.850997, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.555465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.207707, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.671937, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.391864, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.526434, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20998466, "relative_activity": 1.671875, "balance": 0.526434, "dry_up": 1.2052, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.226184, "annualized_volatility": 0.80402, "from_high_reference": -0.38699, "from_low_reference": 2.500255 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 133.064333, "fair_value_reference": 48.127019, "structural_low": 85.875, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.052596, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.018466, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.560804, "worst_return": -0.18094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.172222, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.162429, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.005761, "worst_return": 0.011536, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.402439, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.266165, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.288977, "worst_return": -0.088681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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144.852925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 146.44, "volume": 13226616, "typical_volume": 11377596.1, "trend": 125.415333, "fair_value": 45.187083, "relative_strength": 35.432919, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.420475, "energy": 30.342438, "activity_lines": [ 170.501333, 175.895818, 162.138952, 146.366366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 132.0, "volume": 10058439, "typical_volume": 11429700.1, "trend": 127.469333, "fair_value": 45.944519, "relative_strength": 25.605301, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.887187, "energy": 21.036745, "activity_lines": [ 154.208, 167.89, 160.980238, 146.791183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 131.41, "volume": 8615422, "typical_volume": 11344298.4, "trend": 129.459, "fair_value": 46.696827, "relative_strength": 25.2902, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.242512, "energy": 24.335954, "activity_lines": [ 141.854667, 160.237091, 159.633143, 147.045419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.44, "volume": 20876134, "typical_volume": 12027843.7, "trend": 130.953333, "fair_value": 47.340353, "relative_strength": 8.250253, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.171143, "energy": 37.697336, "activity_lines": [ 129.846667, 150.334, 156.557952, 146.140968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 137.21, "volume": 20998466, "typical_volume": 12559833.35, "trend": 133.064333, "fair_value": 48.127019, "relative_strength": 20.770728, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.913851, "energy": 30.275152, "activity_lines": [ 130.165333, 145.743273, 155.438, 146.544624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }