{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f59e2a6-3bff-499c-82fe-7346d089b25b", "symbol": "UB17", "name": "UBS MSCI EMU Value UCITS ETF EUR dis", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.712, "architecture_energy": 87.554, "architecture_maturity": 39.361, "architecture_confidence": 80.697, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 74.52, "upward_expansion": 92.03, "deceleration": 47.32, "rotation_down": 15.92, "downward_expansion": 18.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 5665.5, 5606.027273, 5491.07381, 5395.650728 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5778.0, "trend_reference": 5291.163184, "distance_from_trend": 0.092009, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4259.564919, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.356477, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.590363, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104062, "excess_performance": 0.052827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092009, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038053, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.356477, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081045, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045904, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032789, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104062, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.390741, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2979, "relative_activity": 0.842954, "balance": 1.390741, "dry_up": 0.741299, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01677, "annualized_volatility": 0.16233, "from_high_reference": -0.005777, "from_low_reference": 0.266417 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5291.163184, "fair_value_reference": 4259.564919, "structural_low": 4716.0, 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"energy": 86.860316, "activity_lines": [ 5538.566667, 5469.718182, 5356.885714, 5291.705022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5519.0, "volume": 1559, "typical_volume": 3728.95, "trend": 5230.788232, "fair_value": 4218.396902, "relative_strength": 2.966596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.751484, "energy": 83.833228, "activity_lines": [ 5538.7, 5489.763636, 5381.467857, 5311.266172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5586.0, "volume": 2527, "typical_volume": 3647.15, "trend": 5248.940837, "fair_value": 4231.023746, "relative_strength": 2.88457, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.731834, "energy": 81.308625, "activity_lines": [ 5554.166667, 5516.554545, 5411.638095, 5334.18306 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5692.5, "volume": 3414, "typical_volume": 3635.2, "trend": 5268.810319, "fair_value": 4244.747856, "relative_strength": 3.441058, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.881466, "energy": 71.18009, "activity_lines": [ 5601.633333, 5556.772727, 5449.064286, 5362.799781 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5778.0, "volume": 2979, "typical_volume": 3534.0, "trend": 5291.163184, "fair_value": 4259.564919, "relative_strength": 4.590363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.711858, "energy": 87.55379, "activity_lines": [ 5665.5, 5606.027273, 5491.07381, 5395.650728 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }