{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f5ad58c-416a-4f9a-a898-4f0d0d7d721e", "symbol": "300091", "name": "Jin Tong Ling Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.542, "architecture_energy": 71.5, "architecture_maturity": 26.714, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 17.29, "upward_expansion": 16.02, "deceleration": 40.83, "rotation_down": 65.13, "downward_expansion": 89.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.492, 2.538182, 2.708857, 2.800731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.52, "trend_reference": 2.909667, "distance_from_trend": -0.133921, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.549231, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.011467, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.22938, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.165563, "excess_performance": -0.172963, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133921, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044863, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.011467, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239385, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.172294, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030848, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165563, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.352173, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26348194, "relative_activity": 0.484037, "balance": 0.352173, "dry_up": 0.540959, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064713, "annualized_volatility": 0.283477, "from_high_reference": -0.294118, "from_low_reference": 0.090909 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.909667, "fair_value_reference": 2.549231, "structural_low": 2.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.003571, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.022927, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.506579, "worst_return": -0.419847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.1, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.053358, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.794326, "worst_return": -0.237838, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.18247, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.063945, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.224, "worst_return": -0.537037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.47, "volume": 27926281, "typical_volume": 57901441.35, "trend": 2.931667, "fair_value": 2.552115, "relative_strength": -15.108371, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.217858, "energy": 73.324537, "activity_lines": [ 2.491333, 2.562, 2.741381, 2.82729 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.52, "volume": 26348194, "typical_volume": 54434265.35, "trend": 2.909667, "fair_value": 2.549231, "relative_strength": -17.22938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.542454, "energy": 71.499674, "activity_lines": [ 2.492, 2.538182, 2.708857, 2.800731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }