{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3f88c4f4-c72d-46ae-bca8-00e7e0abddd1", "symbol": "002566", "name": "Jilin Jian Yisheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.368, "architecture_energy": 37.548, "architecture_maturity": 71.459, "architecture_confidence": 62.321, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.23, "rotation_up": 25.58, "upward_expansion": 17.23, "deceleration": 66.9, "rotation_down": 38.96, "downward_expansion": 64.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.400667, 6.376182, 6.75855, 7.074759 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.57, "trend_reference": 7.439662, "distance_from_trend": -0.116895, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.342512, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.105211, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.544981, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.187668, "excess_performance": -0.195068, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116895, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065791, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.105211, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.214941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17545, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016791, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.187668, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.796702, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65114153, "relative_activity": 1.903499, "balance": 0.796702, "dry_up": 1.953622, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086127, "annualized_volatility": 0.291804, "from_high_reference": -0.313546, "from_low_reference": 0.140625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.439662, "fair_value_reference": 7.342512, "structural_low": 5.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.001196, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.007045, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.140468, "worst_return": -0.110465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.069909, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.050807, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.15625, "worst_return": -0.112567, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.056, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.210755, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.259766, "worst_return": 0.021796, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.244967, "energy": 76.245128, "activity_lines": [ 6.275333, 6.49662, 7.006588, 7.290778 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.15, "volume": 79422203, "typical_volume": 29737369.65, "trend": 7.510234, "fair_value": 7.362164, "relative_strength": -21.366955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.758671, "energy": 57.224379, "activity_lines": [ 6.229333, 6.38258, 6.890328, 7.199428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.48, "volume": 69754652, "typical_volume": 32173207.2, "trend": 7.47213, "fair_value": 7.352386, "relative_strength": -15.198106, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.320638, "energy": 50.252396, "activity_lines": [ 6.312667, 6.359818, 6.815807, 7.132961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.57, "volume": 65114153, "typical_volume": 34207602.2, "trend": 7.439662, "fair_value": 7.342512, "relative_strength": -17.544981, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.367804, "energy": 37.548088, "activity_lines": [ 6.400667, 6.376182, 6.75855, 7.074759 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }