{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3f932d69-2531-4b56-b0bb-ad653630d5fb",
    "symbol": "CTP2",
    "name": "Comcast Corporation",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 79.035,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.607,
    "architecture_energy": 26.044,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.735,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.063,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.2,
        "rotation_up": 27.76,
        "upward_expansion": 21.44,
        "deceleration": 46.7,
        "rotation_down": 25.61,
        "downward_expansion": 57.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.9118,
        20.609881,
        20.95527,
        21.853325
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 21.844999,
    "trend_reference": 22.965128,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.048775,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 28.74843,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.240132,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.902294,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.159443,
    "excess_performance": -0.224083,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048775,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024948,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.240132,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040411,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129023,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015867,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159443,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.302478,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26615,
      "relative_activity": 1.409301,
      "balance": 2.302478,
      "dry_up": 3.009425,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048206,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.262469,
      "from_high_reference": -0.197962,
      "from_low_reference": 0.161968
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.965128,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.74843,
      "structural_low": 18.799999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.007706,
        "positive_rate": 0.46875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.53125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017692,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.132536,
        "worst_return": -0.103807,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.048109,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051701,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.210141,
        "worst_return": -0.177516,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.058617,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05364,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.147807,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.0892,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.167153,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.171842,
        "worst_return": -0.235039,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.031339,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.09084,
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.049747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 8754.75,
        "trend": 23.279562,
        "fair_value": 29.090667,
        "relative_strength": -15.814753,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 10194.8,
        "trend": 23.206454,
        "fair_value": 29.017148,
        "relative_strength": -12.829429,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.295517,
        "energy": 46.119814,
        "activity_lines": [
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          20.424547,
          21.360156,
          22.309808
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.604,
        "volume": 71221,
        "typical_volume": 13230.6,
        "trend": 23.104329,
        "fair_value": 28.920139,
        "relative_strength": -18.801617,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.472497,
        "energy": 52.693681,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.255384,
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          21.084403,
          22.077391
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.81,
        "volume": 93839,
        "typical_volume": 17739.25,
        "trend": 23.023693,
        "fair_value": 28.8329,
        "relative_strength": -15.118626,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.905602,
        "energy": 38.148987,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.437067,
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          20.957856,
          21.92937
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.844999,
        "volume": 26615,
        "typical_volume": 18885.25,
        "trend": 22.965128,
        "fair_value": 28.74843,
        "relative_strength": -12.902294,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.606518,
        "energy": 26.04387,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}