{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3faba0ee-d9ae-414f-b4b4-27bebc0d94a3", "symbol": "ANTO", "name": "Antofagasta plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.272, "architecture_energy": 15.212, "architecture_maturity": 19.501, "architecture_confidence": 94.09, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.12, "rotation_up": 26.64, "upward_expansion": 37.36, "deceleration": 78.84, "rotation_down": 33.94, "downward_expansion": 38.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 3745.2, 3768.945455, 3810.126332, 3780.185987 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3981.0, "trend_reference": 3737.473324, "distance_from_trend": 0.065158, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2270.370829, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.753458, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.02898, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.091383, "excess_performance": 0.025104, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065158, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086943, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.753458, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129213, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.13029, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.214409, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091383, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.405817, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5164731, "relative_activity": 0.989581, "balance": 1.405817, "dry_up": 1.072825, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086669, "annualized_volatility": 0.4945, "from_high_reference": -0.11031, "from_low_reference": 1.092818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3737.473324, "fair_value_reference": 2270.370829, "structural_low": 2977.72776, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.021035, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.023403, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.198618, "worst_return": -0.153412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.090713, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.058149, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.375594, "worst_return": -0.137684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.074135, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.06459, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164713, "worst_return": -0.188476, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": 13.02898, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.271822, "energy": 15.211721, "activity_lines": [ 3745.2, 3768.945455, 3810.126332, 3780.185987 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }