{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3fac6bbf-8289-4f6e-9adf-d8a32278cd0c", "symbol": "KZG", "name": "Kazera Global plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.323, "architecture_energy": 77.642, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.244, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.84, "rotation_up": 76.4, "upward_expansion": 94.04, "deceleration": 41.91, "rotation_down": 9.33, "downward_expansion": 18.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.01545, 0.014245, 0.012886, 0.012121 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.01475, "trend_reference": 0.011425, "distance_from_trend": 0.291028, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.011016, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.338919, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.068187, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.282609, "excess_performance": 0.231373, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.291028, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004357, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.338919, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.28484, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.070682, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.305044, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.282609, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.142376, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14370892, "relative_activity": 0.692334, "balance": 2.142376, "dry_up": 1.212447, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143103, "annualized_volatility": 1.04025, "from_high_reference": -0.202703, "from_low_reference": 1.504244 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.011425, "fair_value_reference": 0.011016, "structural_low": 0.00589, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.021277, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.01218, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.195122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.011364, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047933, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.158537, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.204545, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.254833, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.454545, "worst_return": -0.317073, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.025107, "energy": 68.126176, "activity_lines": [ 0.013467, 0.012332, 0.011581, 0.011237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.016, "volume": 38714547, "typical_volume": 19550013.2, "trend": 0.011167, "fair_value": 0.010925, "relative_strength": 15.949244, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.181139, "energy": 79.645197, "activity_lines": [ 0.0146, 0.013114, 0.012073, 0.011555 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0165, "volume": 27339319, "typical_volume": 20565910.6, "trend": 0.011308, "fair_value": 0.010976, "relative_strength": 19.001473, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.532178, "energy": 86.147833, "activity_lines": [ 0.015467, 0.013895, 0.01258, 0.011899 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.01475, "volume": 14370892, "typical_volume": 20757163.4, "trend": 0.011425, "fair_value": 0.011016, "relative_strength": 7.068187, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.322862, "energy": 77.642079, "activity_lines": [ 0.01545, 0.014245, 0.012886, 0.012121 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }