{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3fb18308-cccb-4e3c-8443-584bc7c75534", "symbol": "GET", "name": "Getlink SE", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.714, "architecture_energy": 49.226, "architecture_maturity": 43.867, "architecture_confidence": 52.606, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.11, "rotation_up": 51.17, "upward_expansion": 78.03, "deceleration": 69.98, "rotation_down": 24.45, "downward_expansion": 7.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.686667, 18.652182, 18.452791, 18.207517 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.639999, "trend_reference": 17.743139, "distance_from_trend": 0.050547, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.253842, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.221987, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.171163, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119732, "excess_performance": -0.054515, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050547, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072538, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.221987, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030359, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081712, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025635, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119732, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019948, "annualized_volatility": 0.190744, "from_high_reference": -0.016359, "from_low_reference": 0.288692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.743139, "fair_value_reference": 15.253842, "structural_low": 16.120343, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.004307, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.005124, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.103737, "worst_return": -0.107414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.024749, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.044603, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.109605, "worst_return": -0.191002, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.030949, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.049557, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.015137, "worst_return": -0.064356, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 56.3, "trend": 17.529632, "fair_value": 15.195369, "relative_strength": -4.444552, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.296148, "energy": 66.74202, "activity_lines": [ 18.752667, 18.606403, 18.372737, 18.076005 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.57, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 56.3, "trend": 17.64192, "fair_value": 15.223465, "relative_strength": -6.079477, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.27924, "energy": 50.614836, "activity_lines": [ 18.702667, 18.630665, 18.412779, 18.143125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.639999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 56.3, "trend": 17.743139, "fair_value": 15.253842, "relative_strength": -8.171163, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.714297, "energy": 49.225821, "activity_lines": [ 18.686667, 18.652182, 18.452791, 18.207517 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }