{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3fc08241-ed2d-49ec-a4c8-cc4306ae6787", "symbol": "SIFY", "name": "Sify Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 83.282, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 3.084, "architecture_energy": 8.965, "architecture_maturity": 15.731, "architecture_confidence": 55.257, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.02, "rotation_up": 24.37, "upward_expansion": 17.66, "deceleration": 58.23, "rotation_down": 42.02, "downward_expansion": 35.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.912, 15.035091, 15.229857, 15.075054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 15.8, "trend_reference": 14.920333, "distance_from_trend": 0.058958, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.489759, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.861066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.524397, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.08778, "excess_performance": -0.099674, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058958, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083828, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.861066, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146467, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025244, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.228238, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08778, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.145634, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 196657, "relative_activity": 0.639105, "balance": 1.145634, "dry_up": 0.688455, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11037, "annualized_volatility": 0.45967, "from_high_reference": -0.114846, "from_low_reference": 1.135135 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.920333, "fair_value_reference": 8.489759, "structural_low": 12.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.050266, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.002179, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.921986, "worst_return": -0.238606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.043633, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.012905, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.63197, "worst_return": -0.324397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.183751, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.079551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.713755, "worst_return": -0.764075, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.167742, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.14052, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.962825, "worst_return": -0.315789, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-08-25", "end": "2023-10-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.286996, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-10-27", "end": "2023-12-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041379, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2023-12-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.114458, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-29", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.276139, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.580103, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.63197, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.16805, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.18509, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.115686, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.406191, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.096006, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.189229, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.002543, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.127766, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 12.36, "volume": 864806, "typical_volume": 1178449.4, "trend": 9.78594, "fair_value": 14.084681, "relative_strength": 8.308184, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", 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14.5235, "fair_value": 8.454054, "relative_strength": 5.707293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.688219, "energy": 15.791406, "activity_lines": [ 15.44, 15.633545, 15.27231, 15.032194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.77, "volume": 136901, "typical_volume": 331434.0, "trend": 14.672833, "fair_value": 8.450913, "relative_strength": 5.572166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.955062, "energy": 15.171611, "activity_lines": [ 15.575667, 15.637455, 15.346333, 15.112613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.01, "volume": 252514, "typical_volume": 319131.85, "trend": 14.761167, "fair_value": 8.448797, "relative_strength": -3.061752, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.786136, "energy": 8.972048, "activity_lines": [ 15.044, 15.319, 15.252214, 15.069849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.11, "volume": 151443, "typical_volume": 310381.55, "trend": 14.814833, "fair_value": 8.453092, "relative_strength": -1.766361, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.600309, "energy": 14.119887, "activity_lines": [ 14.681667, 15.061091, 15.175524, 15.027839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.64, "volume": 246756, "typical_volume": 308193.6, "trend": 14.893333, "fair_value": 8.4704, "relative_strength": 0.518307, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.333511, "energy": 14.117036, "activity_lines": [ 14.568667, 14.929, 15.149548, 15.016559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.8, "volume": 196657, "typical_volume": 307706.95, "trend": 14.920333, "fair_value": 8.489759, "relative_strength": 2.524397, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.084491, "energy": 8.96469, "activity_lines": [ 14.912, 15.035091, 15.229857, 15.075054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }