{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3fd12587-2c1e-47db-99f2-06f83392ee6e",
    "symbol": "ZSML",
    "name": "BMO S&P US Small Cap Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.961,
    "architecture_energy": 59.217,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.492,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.134,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.31,
        "rotation_up": 45.84,
        "upward_expansion": 75.17,
        "deceleration": 74.33,
        "rotation_down": 29.36,
        "downward_expansion": 15.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        51.372695
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.055,
    "trend_reference": 49.613951,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109668,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.572908,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.3243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.90946,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.155194,
    "excess_performance": 0.034773,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109668,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068594,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.3243,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070863,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039095,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023318,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155194,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.986877,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3000,
      "relative_activity": 0.527704,
      "balance": 0.986877,
      "dry_up": 0.699208,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026939,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.143034,
      "from_high_reference": -0.02523,
      "from_low_reference": 0.379913
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.613951,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.572908,
      "structural_low": 43.49102,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.009262,
        "positive_rate": 0.645161,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.645161,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004113,
        "regime_survival": 0.709677,
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        "worst_return": -0.086474,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.135127,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "relative_strength": 0.06811,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.127358,
        "energy": 80.2846,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.2418,
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          46.591667,
          46.127956
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 49.288067,
        "volume": 7000,
        "typical_volume": 6013.55,
        "trend": 45.643736,
        "fair_value": 39.857228,
        "relative_strength": 0.42826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.422161,
        "energy": 84.087926,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.882778,
          46.373463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 50.106041,
        "volume": 6800,
        "typical_volume": 6114.55,
        "trend": 45.858639,
        "fair_value": 39.974928,
        "relative_strength": 1.577673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.674273,
        "energy": 89.352435,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 48.789299,
        "volume": 21100,
        "typical_volume": 7089.85,
        "trend": 46.026656,
        "fair_value": 40.07937,
        "relative_strength": -0.248547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.738851,
        "energy": 78.14554,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.850428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 50.135967,
        "volume": 11800,
        "typical_volume": 7570.0,
        "trend": 46.200635,
        "fair_value": 40.190404,
        "relative_strength": 0.639041,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.380612,
        "energy": 66.410381,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 50.604809,
        "volume": 4600,
        "typical_volume": 7265.0,
        "trend": 46.429169,
        "fair_value": 40.309016,
        "relative_strength": 0.717657,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.248977,
        "energy": 59.389607,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 51.342983,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 6920.0,
        "trend": 46.680645,
        "fair_value": 40.422228,
        "relative_strength": 3.206559,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.84599,
        "energy": 64.066088,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.481779,
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          48.438284,
          47.716706
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 53.188416,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 6640.0,
        "trend": 47.006279,
        "fair_value": 40.547765,
        "relative_strength": 5.189451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.272696,
        "energy": 90.716483,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 53.806885,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 5970.0,
        "trend": 47.374156,
        "fair_value": 40.682455,
        "relative_strength": 6.202859,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.105722,
        "energy": 93.916758,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 54.973999,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 5705.0,
        "trend": 47.716721,
        "fair_value": 40.817751,
        "relative_strength": 8.337388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.342324,
        "energy": 95.988393,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.530237,
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          50.161336,
          49.065623
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 55.355,
        "volume": 7800,
        "typical_volume": 5900.0,
        "trend": 48.073984,
        "fair_value": 40.95859,
        "relative_strength": 8.149244,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.118606,
        "energy": 94.360989,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.387431,
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          50.794508,
          49.558415
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.610001,
        "volume": 11700,
        "typical_volume": 6425.0,
        "trend": 48.387614,
        "fair_value": 41.087895,
        "relative_strength": 6.466966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.393042,
        "energy": 88.255939,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.679613,
          53.40168,
          51.317466,
          49.980094
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.049999,
        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 6055.0,
        "trend": 48.694722,
        "fair_value": 41.209951,
        "relative_strength": 5.4416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.773608,
        "energy": 81.694189,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.567325,
          53.721436,
          51.753989,
          50.345409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 54.130001,
        "volume": 7600,
        "typical_volume": 6215.0,
        "trend": 49.008156,
        "fair_value": 41.329605,
        "relative_strength": 5.216496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.567071,
        "energy": 64.901991,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.424267,
          53.98403,
          52.163637,
          50.696072
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 53.77,
        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 5625.0,
        "trend": 49.329186,
        "fair_value": 41.446084,
        "relative_strength": 4.894352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.099317,
        "energy": 59.568294,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.139667,
          54.084065,
          52.49508,
          51.003288
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.055,
        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 5685.0,
        "trend": 49.613951,
        "fair_value": 41.572908,
        "relative_strength": 3.90946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.96127,
        "energy": 59.216548,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.363667,
          54.351663,
          52.904039,
          51.372695
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}