{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3fd5a859-4f59-4d62-9ff7-57dbb10d33c9", "symbol": "5DP", "name": "Heeton Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.615, "architecture_energy": 49.609, "architecture_maturity": 48.636, "architecture_confidence": 87.255, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.45, "rotation_up": 25.84, "upward_expansion": 13.26, "deceleration": 57.6, "rotation_down": 55.51, "downward_expansion": 75.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.237333, 0.237636, 0.243823, 0.246389 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.23, "trend_reference": 0.250063, "distance_from_trend": -0.080232, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.251263, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.084625, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.308466, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.115385, "excess_performance": -0.27022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.080232, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020991, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.084625, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101218, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.243085, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145204, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.115385, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.429145, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10300, "relative_activity": 0.151281, "balance": 0.429145, "dry_up": 0.434016, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033413, "annualized_volatility": 0.25373, "from_high_reference": -0.191644, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.250063, "fair_value_reference": 0.251263, "structural_low": 0.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.001085, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.145836, "worst_return": -0.1, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.017229, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.002004, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.099999, "worst_return": -0.076921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.037038, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.020771, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.173917, "worst_return": -0.107142, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.472792, "energy": 83.911615, "activity_lines": [ 0.235667, 0.240727, 0.246538, 0.248823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.235, "volume": 70300, "typical_volume": 65735.0, "trend": 0.250742, "fair_value": 0.251281, "relative_strength": -22.334228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.768687, "energy": 82.304212, "activity_lines": [ 0.235, 0.238636, 0.245267, 0.247764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.25, "volume": 37600, "typical_volume": 67615.0, "trend": 0.250572, "fair_value": 0.251336, "relative_strength": -17.363571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.185478, "energy": 37.761625, "activity_lines": [ 0.24, 0.239818, 0.245497, 0.247716 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.23, "volume": 10300, "typical_volume": 68085.0, "trend": 0.250063, "fair_value": 0.251263, "relative_strength": -24.308466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.614512, "energy": 49.60936, "activity_lines": [ 0.237333, 0.237636, 0.243823, 0.246389 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }