{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3fe57bd3-5cbd-4068-8cff-c445f96dfff6", "symbol": "GEA", "name": "Grenobloise d'Electronique et d'Automatismes Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.082, "architecture_energy": 91.599, "architecture_maturity": 20.998, "architecture_confidence": 76.123, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.77, "rotation_up": 8.01, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 86.19, "downward_expansion": 100.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.6, 81.272727, 85.879711, 87.135885 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 75.5, "trend_reference": 87.533457, "distance_from_trend": -0.137473, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 79.521666, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.050573, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.49746, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.109161, "excess_performance": -0.162473, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137473, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028416, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.050573, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200629, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164975, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218965, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.109161, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.379622, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2141, "relative_activity": 4.615716, "balance": 1.379622, "dry_up": 2.204915, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048395, "annualized_volatility": 0.255489, "from_high_reference": -0.244534, "from_low_reference": 0.093015 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 87.533457, "fair_value_reference": 79.521666, "structural_low": 72.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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"2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.038831, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.024096, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046243, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.006061, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018072, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034682, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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40.303508, "activity_lines": [ 92.566667, 91.901818, 90.919918, 88.845138 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 95.5, "volume": 91, "typical_volume": 370.6, "trend": 86.237269, "fair_value": 78.982922, "relative_strength": 8.21665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.285012, "energy": 51.639145, "activity_lines": [ 93.766667, 92.590909, 91.511912, 89.487972 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 94.0, "volume": 258, "typical_volume": 362.1, "trend": 86.937464, "fair_value": 79.11963, "relative_strength": 5.579316, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.555604, "energy": 43.382143, "activity_lines": [ 94.1, 92.945455, 91.893535, 89.988794 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 91.5, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 330.05, "trend": 87.554326, "fair_value": 79.237834, "relative_strength": 3.27176, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.042426, "energy": 37.615123, "activity_lines": [ 93.233333, 92.818182, 91.983693, 90.283151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 87.0, "volume": 252, "typical_volume": 332.1, "trend": 87.874219, "fair_value": 79.319758, "relative_strength": -3.045354, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.910111, "energy": 10.152134, "activity_lines": [ 91.066667, 91.872727, 91.613143, 90.247388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 83.5, "volume": 333, "typical_volume": 328.7, "trend": 87.946808, "fair_value": 79.391636, "relative_strength": -4.831123, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -23.178718, "energy": 32.406846, "activity_lines": [ 88.233333, 90.354545, 90.907885, 89.96518 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 83.0, "volume": 59, "typical_volume": 316.05, "trend": 88.01906, "fair_value": 79.460309, "relative_strength": -5.192317, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.340728, "energy": 68.725468, "activity_lines": [ 85.8, 88.881818, 90.170299, 89.646031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 74.0, "volume": 1185, "typical_volume": 347.45, "trend": 87.774982, "fair_value": 79.47129, "relative_strength": -15.543137, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -67.667101, "energy": 87.705155, "activity_lines": [ 81.2, 85.9, 88.597908, 88.741576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.0, "volume": 706, "typical_volume": 357.95, "trend": 87.613226, "fair_value": 79.498592, "relative_strength": -15.387448, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -60.557459, "energy": 85.82448, "activity_lines": [ 78.266667, 83.363636, 87.183617, 87.917384 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.5, "volume": 2141, "typical_volume": 463.85, "trend": 87.533457, "fair_value": 79.521666, "relative_strength": -16.49746, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.081596, "energy": 91.599403, "activity_lines": [ 76.6, 81.272727, 85.879711, 87.135885 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }