{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4003cabc-1b0b-4153-ac36-a479232b654d", "symbol": "300134", "name": "Anhui Tatfook Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.532, "architecture_energy": 55.966, "architecture_maturity": 37.339, "architecture_confidence": 86.709, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 17.25, "upward_expansion": 8.69, "deceleration": 56.0, "rotation_down": 64.06, "downward_expansion": 82.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.089333, 8.338364, 9.221619, 9.744624 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.03, "trend_reference": 10.494667, "distance_from_trend": -0.139563, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.724167, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.157977, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.981923, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.236041, "excess_performance": -0.24344, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139563, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09302, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.157977, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245078, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229819, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02186, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.236041, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.613012, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 137267791, "relative_activity": 2.304595, "balance": 0.613012, "dry_up": 1.311719, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115001, "annualized_volatility": 0.482216, "from_high_reference": -0.363188, "from_low_reference": 0.301153 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.494667, "fair_value_reference": 10.724167, "structural_low": 6.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.042075, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": 0.012744, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.360852, "worst_return": -0.168342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.050411, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.000423, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.898449, "worst_return": -0.107053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019632, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.043002, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.036635, "worst_return": -0.165345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-35.984301, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.84289, "energy": 80.796324, "activity_lines": [ 9.261333, 9.846364, 10.329905, 10.703849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.07, "volume": 65519062, "typical_volume": 54189511.3, "trend": 11.05, "fair_value": 10.775, "relative_strength": -37.675566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.712592, "energy": 87.405316, "activity_lines": [ 8.758, 9.438364, 10.082143, 10.502581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.4, "volume": 64772103, "typical_volume": 55534108.1, "trend": 10.909333, "fair_value": 10.756731, "relative_strength": -36.422237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.205091, "energy": 93.762424, "activity_lines": [ 8.206, 8.961818, 9.789048, 10.267097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.36, "volume": 60529930, "typical_volume": 55555301.2, "trend": 10.778667, "fair_value": 10.740192, "relative_strength": -36.250554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.054826, "energy": 91.417584, "activity_lines": [ 7.790667, 8.556182, 9.515286, 10.038108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.81, "volume": 49948082, "typical_volume": 55131624.0, "trend": 10.610333, "fair_value": 10.725962, "relative_strength": -30.566469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.455002, "energy": 85.731557, "activity_lines": [ 7.702667, 8.305818, 9.302476, 9.846581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.03, "volume": 137267791, "typical_volume": 59562646.9, "trend": 10.494667, "fair_value": 10.724167, "relative_strength": -22.981923, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.532444, "energy": 55.966445, "activity_lines": [ 8.089333, 8.338364, 9.221619, 9.744624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }