{ "ticker": { "uuid": "400fbaee-b6bd-427d-b171-7d4efd2decd4", "symbol": "ALODY", "name": "ODYSSEE TECHNOLOGIES", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.032, "architecture_energy": 46.944, "architecture_maturity": 54.32, "architecture_confidence": 91.709, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.73, "rotation_up": 27.55, "upward_expansion": 6.93, "deceleration": 56.72, "rotation_down": 48.95, "downward_expansion": 80.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.042667, 20.123637, 20.788333, 22.246129 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.84, "trend_reference": 24.398667, "distance_from_trend": -0.186841, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.907379, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.234195, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.821711, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.29395, "excess_performance": -0.347262, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.186841, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115242, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.234195, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05688, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.328217, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028968, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.29395, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.095394, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7457, "relative_activity": 1.355473, "balance": 1.095394, "dry_up": 1.024921, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08743, "annualized_volatility": 0.344061, "from_high_reference": -0.468097, "from_low_reference": 0.07709 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.398667, "fair_value_reference": 25.907379, "structural_low": 18.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.058002, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.067779, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.058002, "worst_return": 0.058002, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.065521, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 15.55, "volume": 63220, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 14.5, "volume": 42277, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { 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"relative_strength": -33.231156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.19588, "energy": 41.431288, "activity_lines": [ 20.405333, 20.346, 21.584429, 23.215226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.98, "volume": 3633, "typical_volume": 5127.0, "trend": 25.005667, "fair_value": 26.045906, "relative_strength": -31.306554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.606599, "energy": 34.782729, "activity_lines": [ 20.365333, 20.232546, 21.275667, 22.876753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.200001, "volume": 7154, "typical_volume": 5213.95, "trend": 24.809, "fair_value": 25.97793, "relative_strength": -30.68286, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.682777, "energy": 36.858136, "activity_lines": [ 20.308, 20.200364, 21.028667, 22.56671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.84, "volume": 7457, "typical_volume": 5501.4, "trend": 24.398667, "fair_value": 25.907379, "relative_strength": -32.821711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.032288, "energy": 46.943928, "activity_lines": [ 20.042667, 20.123637, 20.788333, 22.246129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }