{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40107e07-fd74-47ad-a5e2-dba9fccec331", "symbol": "AMSC", "name": "American Superconductor Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -58.443, "architecture_energy": 80.5, "architecture_maturity": 21.005, "architecture_confidence": 89.971, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.7, "rotation_up": 14.1, "upward_expansion": 32.68, "deceleration": 49.03, "rotation_down": 83.76, "downward_expansion": 64.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 586.343333, 618.914545, 678.704095, 670.933247 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 511.029999, "trend_reference": 648.973666, "distance_from_trend": -0.212557, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 468.742946, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.090214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.691695, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.02206, "excess_performance": 0.076727, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.212557, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004312, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.090214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.111056, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226917, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.59086, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02206, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.009128, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.009128, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091303, "annualized_volatility": 0.723494, "from_high_reference": -0.542907, "from_low_reference": 0.02206 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 648.973666, "fair_value_reference": 468.742946, "structural_low": 500.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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702.579143, 681.800903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 624.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.45, "trend": 652.072666, "fair_value": 466.117689, "relative_strength": -6.025334, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.41794, "energy": 61.523374, "activity_lines": [ 625.066667, 649.472727, 696.102095, 680.032774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 511.029999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.45, "trend": 648.973666, "fair_value": 468.742946, "relative_strength": -22.691695, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -58.44287, "energy": 80.499882, "activity_lines": [ 586.343333, 618.914545, 678.704095, 670.933247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }