{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4012b281-5472-4ac4-a82d-4c8db1f645d5", "symbol": "DRREDDY", "name": "Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.69, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.779, "architecture_energy": 77.079, "architecture_maturity": 9.754, "architecture_confidence": 81.735, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.45, "rotation_up": 10.8, "upward_expansion": 20.12, "deceleration": 34.19, "rotation_down": 75.32, "downward_expansion": 91.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 1171.613314, 1218.236053, 1251.407142, 1260.179821 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1172.0, "trend_reference": 1262.824056, "distance_from_trend": -0.071921, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1231.101994, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048007, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.586678, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.055752, "excess_performance": -0.012043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071921, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002264, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048007, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118103, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065867, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123363, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.055752, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.353705, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8601555, "relative_activity": 0.881237, "balance": 0.353705, "dry_up": 1.127373, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052342, "annualized_volatility": 0.23135, "from_high_reference": -0.151732, "from_low_reference": 0.064487 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1262.824056, "fair_value_reference": 1231.101994, "structural_low": 1101.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.073895, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.017217, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.106386, "worst_return": -0.02549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.02534, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.005101, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.106468, "worst_return": -0.051587, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.040308, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.019273, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.053601, "worst_return": -0.051547, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.030362, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043353, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.064018, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004532, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.028152, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008203, "active": false }, { "regime": 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1148.099976, "volume": 6927908, "typical_volume": 9707890.5, "trend": 1264.094055, "fair_value": 1230.963839, "relative_strength": -7.859839, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.954109, "energy": 67.629902, "activity_lines": [ 1188.996029, 1233.650994, 1260.794864, 1266.121373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1172.0, "volume": 8601555, "typical_volume": 9760778.9, "trend": 1262.824056, "fair_value": 1231.101994, "relative_strength": -6.586678, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.778595, "energy": 77.07898, "activity_lines": [ 1171.613314, 1218.236053, 1251.407142, 1260.179821 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }