{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4016b09b-b1e5-4785-9dda-1ad986894a62", "symbol": "REZI", "name": "Resideo Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 94.122, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.331, "architecture_energy": 25.157, "architecture_maturity": 16.576, "architecture_confidence": 60.187, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.78, "rotation_up": 58.91, "upward_expansion": 39.47, "deceleration": 39.65, "rotation_down": 17.62, "downward_expansion": 16.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.764778, 23.807675, 23.54707, 23.813888 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 26.08, "trend_reference": 24.212873, "distance_from_trend": 0.077113, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.568148, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.484505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.507872, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.030153, "excess_performance": -0.095472, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077113, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008005, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.484505, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172905, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137025, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.030153, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.13136, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9347840, "relative_activity": 1.343854, "balance": 1.13136, "dry_up": 1.298115, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103302, "annualized_volatility": 0.601841, "from_high_reference": -0.172511, "from_low_reference": 0.402581 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.212873, "fair_value_reference": 17.568148, "structural_low": 18.594294, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.031573, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.028788, "regime_survival": 0.47619, "best_return": 0.200186, "worst_return": -0.320858, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.11116, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.07744, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.171629, "worst_return": -0.281139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.102412, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.149367, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.021614, 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23.61865, "volume": 8856797, "typical_volume": 6649644.95, "trend": 24.255393, "fair_value": 17.238906, "relative_strength": -12.401142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.467342, "energy": 25.259246, "activity_lines": [ 22.30109, 22.01822, 23.177287, 23.686324 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.93389, "volume": 12614276, "typical_volume": 6752503.7, "trend": 24.257945, "fair_value": 17.318175, "relative_strength": -6.397377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.643262, "energy": 13.103602, "activity_lines": [ 23.229877, 22.522174, 23.283693, 23.730098 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.036186, "volume": 7205966, "typical_volume": 6771589.1, "trend": 24.22431, "fair_value": 17.389683, "relative_strength": -9.504432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.33478, "energy": 17.302979, "activity_lines": [ 23.665971, 22.912507, 23.314113, 23.715791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.869172, "volume": 6950643, "typical_volume": 6799249.4, "trend": 24.204361, "fair_value": 17.474573, "relative_strength": -11.258864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.595867, "energy": 20.650216, "activity_lines": [ 23.924379, 23.194154, 23.32654, 23.692879 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.08, "volume": 9347840, "typical_volume": 6955995.15, "trend": 24.212873, "fair_value": 17.568148, "relative_strength": -6.507872, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.330864, "energy": 25.157016, "activity_lines": [ 24.764778, 23.807675, 23.54707, 23.813888 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }