{ "ticker": { "uuid": "401dc525-7dfb-423f-881f-4bfbe78355d9", "symbol": "EDV", "name": "VANGUARD WORLD FUND EXTENDED DURATION TREAS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.655, "architecture_energy": 74.637, "architecture_maturity": 8.264, "architecture_confidence": 82.759, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.68, "rotation_up": 8.82, "upward_expansion": 16.81, "deceleration": 37.07, "rotation_down": 76.54, "downward_expansion": 92.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.589333, 61.751554, 62.367948, 62.950006 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 60.35, "trend_reference": 63.747588, "distance_from_trend": -0.053298, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 65.811999, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.082994, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.869298, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.068498, "excess_performance": -0.194123, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053298, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015397, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.082994, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029052, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168693, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037755, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.068498, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.7354, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6384993, "relative_activity": 1.160859, "balance": 0.7354, "dry_up": 1.203846, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030369, "annualized_volatility": 0.144729, "from_high_reference": -0.133009, "from_low_reference": 0.021151 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.747588, "fair_value_reference": 65.811999, "structural_low": 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63.690015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.88, "volume": 7218712, "typical_volume": 5673698.1, "trend": 64.059933, "fair_value": 65.929764, "relative_strength": -13.087417, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.09734, "energy": 55.731241, "activity_lines": [ 62.135958, 62.816137, 62.981378, 63.476199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.46, "volume": 7564592, "typical_volume": 5727913.35, "trend": 63.906056, "fair_value": 65.864407, "relative_strength": -15.612705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.74981, "energy": 76.0637, "activity_lines": [ 61.023333, 62.182151, 62.621432, 63.179429 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.35, "volume": 6384993, "typical_volume": 5500231.8, "trend": 63.747588, "fair_value": 65.811999, "relative_strength": -16.869298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.655459, "energy": 74.636895, "activity_lines": [ 60.589333, 61.751554, 62.367948, 62.950006 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }