{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4023ba9a-d29c-4b71-b0ab-eaf809204259",
    "symbol": "600259",
    "name": "Rising Nonferrous Metals Share Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 90.224,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -25.717,
    "architecture_energy": 42.99,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.102,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.829,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.85,
        "rotation_up": 19.4,
        "upward_expansion": 17.64,
        "deceleration": 44.19,
        "rotation_down": 63.41,
        "downward_expansion": 54.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        79.196001,
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        88.912783
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 90.68,
    "trend_reference": 87.295026,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.038776,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.010878,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.928915,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 22.770121,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.142583,
    "excess_performance": 0.185787,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038776,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160267,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.928915,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.398339,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227701,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177084,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142583,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.638312,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 73897115,
      "relative_activity": 1.173608,
      "balance": 0.638312,
      "dry_up": 0.983614,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.154635,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.801249,
      "from_high_reference": -0.220158,
      "from_low_reference": 0.861146
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 87.295026,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.010878,
      "structural_low": 67.190002,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.025783,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04027,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.191029,
        "worst_return": -0.089827,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.009419,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007079,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.258123,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.069986,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056344,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.197573,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028716,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.050542,
        "worst_return": -0.261174,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.144309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.030383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.238075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 63820890,
        "typical_volume": 66102003.55,
        "trend": 84.951359,
        "fair_value": 46.225896,
        "relative_strength": 6.015503,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -7.464944,
        "energy": 12.437072,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.511335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 71.110001,
        "volume": 64045735,
        "typical_volume": 63799559.0,
        "trend": 85.561154,
        "fair_value": 46.437758,
        "relative_strength": 0.173014,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.41246,
        "energy": 34.786204,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.485335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 72.32,
        "volume": 45972244,
        "typical_volume": 62219644.75,
        "trend": 86.14472,
        "fair_value": 46.665248,
        "relative_strength": 1.294831,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.541757,
        "energy": 46.254694,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.874001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 90.68,
        "volume": 73897115,
        "typical_volume": 62965760.2,
        "trend": 87.295026,
        "fair_value": 47.010878,
        "relative_strength": 22.770121,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.716528,
        "energy": 42.989644,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}