{ "ticker": { "uuid": "402bb4e8-2afe-4043-9f4a-36ef297309ed", "symbol": "GLBE", "name": "Global-E Online Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 57.431, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.584, "architecture_energy": 76.742, "architecture_maturity": 29.535, "architecture_confidence": 78.785, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.74, "rotation_up": 77.25, "upward_expansion": 91.69, "deceleration": 43.34, "rotation_down": 10.72, "downward_expansion": 16.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.479333, 38.007091, 35.316619, 34.447935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 42.32, "trend_reference": 34.014333, "distance_from_trend": 0.244181, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.056218, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.142049, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.253643, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.297761, "excess_performance": 0.110308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.244181, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021949, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.142049, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.345037, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.052536, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.336582, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.297761, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.817078, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5920668, "relative_activity": 0.805977, "balance": 2.817078, "dry_up": 0.94548, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07913, "annualized_volatility": 0.452343, "from_high_reference": -0.00447, "from_low_reference": 0.576457 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.014333, "fair_value_reference": 37.056218, "structural_low": 26.845, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.030676, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.011853, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.126553, "worst_return": -0.187042, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.086794, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.022905, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.102348, "worst_return": -0.289165, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.156662, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.158937, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.352898, "worst_return": -0.212575, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.371128, "energy": 66.594029, "activity_lines": [ 37.382, 35.383818, 33.489857, 33.425118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.21, "volume": 10463134, "typical_volume": 7146680.25, "trend": 33.941667, "fair_value": 37.033013, "relative_strength": -4.897659, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.144819, "energy": 59.16497, "activity_lines": [ 37.272, 35.857636, 33.81619, 33.564172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.31, "volume": 7445723, "typical_volume": 7266003.55, "trend": 33.99, "fair_value": 37.021346, "relative_strength": 2.672823, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.614496, "energy": 58.908632, "activity_lines": [ 37.970667, 36.743818, 34.433857, 33.910516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.32, "volume": 5920668, "typical_volume": 7345951.6, "trend": 34.014333, "fair_value": 37.056218, "relative_strength": 5.253643, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.583673, "energy": 76.74157, "activity_lines": [ 39.479333, 38.007091, 35.316619, 34.447935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }