{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40366f9a-453c-4071-8a2e-ecd19f807477", "symbol": "603579", "name": "Shanghai Rongtai Health Technology Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.26, "architecture_energy": 45.561, "architecture_maturity": 78.36, "architecture_confidence": 93.947, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.47, "rotation_up": 19.51, "upward_expansion": 6.0, "deceleration": 52.76, "rotation_down": 54.61, "downward_expansion": 77.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.434, 17.706654, 18.564334, 19.381644 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.35, "trend_reference": 20.898649, "distance_from_trend": -0.121953, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.692758, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.113216, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.856062, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.243299, "excess_performance": -0.200095, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121953, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097749, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.113216, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193788, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.268561, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021223, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.243299, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.460797, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12881479, "relative_activity": 0.820508, "balance": 0.460797, "dry_up": 0.870522, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096549, "annualized_volatility": 0.487196, "from_high_reference": -0.590767, "from_low_reference": 0.152638 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.898649, "fair_value_reference": 20.692758, "structural_low": 15.92, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.007968, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.019112, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.254266, "worst_return": -0.18407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004758, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.022124, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.421884, "worst_return": -0.192757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.127947, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.049105, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.108557, "worst_return": -0.192127, "sufficient": true }, { 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21.524315, "fair_value": 20.727425, "relative_strength": -32.426045, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.312061, "energy": 56.769583, "activity_lines": [ 17.741999, 18.290202, 19.191421, 20.147834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.299999, "volume": 12877761, "typical_volume": 15960455.85, "trend": 21.280982, "fair_value": 20.708436, "relative_strength": -34.567796, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.439852, "energy": 56.014133, "activity_lines": [ 17.115333, 17.822105, 18.857043, 19.810782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.360001, "volume": 16086718, "typical_volume": 15969120.75, "trend": 21.080648, "fair_value": 20.69837, "relative_strength": -29.865929, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.076004, "energy": 56.903588, "activity_lines": [ 17.128, 17.645511, 18.652093, 19.557815 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.35, "volume": 12881479, "typical_volume": 15699400.65, "trend": 20.898649, "fair_value": 20.692758, "relative_strength": -26.856062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.260328, "energy": 45.561172, "activity_lines": [ 17.434, 17.706654, 18.564334, 19.381644 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }