{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40474f4c-fe5f-4898-a2c2-227be847cf87", "symbol": "1725", "name": "Yuan Jen Enterprises Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.427, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.487, "architecture_energy": 14.507, "architecture_maturity": 9.46, "architecture_confidence": 68.237, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.46, "rotation_up": 17.8, "upward_expansion": 40.54, "deceleration": 77.7, "rotation_down": 38.82, "downward_expansion": 34.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.086667, 30.913663, 31.262325, 30.860956 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.700001, "trend_reference": 30.055453, "distance_from_trend": 0.021445, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.547345, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03901, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.377478, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.199823, "excess_performance": -0.241549, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021445, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073764, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.03901, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013884, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.223775, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045182, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.199823, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.099777, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 176727, "relative_activity": 0.159603, "balance": 1.099777, "dry_up": 0.247902, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102448, "annualized_volatility": 0.417744, "from_high_reference": -0.299993, "from_low_reference": 0.267013 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.055453, "fair_value_reference": 29.547345, "structural_low": 25.102504, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.018939, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.266667, "median_excess_return": -0.040898, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.2282, "worst_return": -0.117371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.043982, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.111559, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.101243, "worst_return": -0.170213, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.052811, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.099783, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.216152, "worst_return": -0.131945, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.066496, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.125304, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.168644, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.100511, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", 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1474490.85, "trend": 29.820309, "fair_value": 29.407168, "relative_strength": -21.537353, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.929657, "energy": 20.745166, "activity_lines": [ 30.206667, 31.497483, 31.40238, 30.800431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.0, "volume": 201133, "typical_volume": 1154255.15, "trend": 29.94156, "fair_value": 29.474728, "relative_strength": -22.338962, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.108721, "energy": 21.343784, "activity_lines": [ 29.86, 31.130069, 31.294065, 30.812024 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.700001, "volume": 176727, "typical_volume": 1107291.1, "trend": 30.055453, "fair_value": 29.547345, "relative_strength": -22.377478, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.486823, "energy": 14.506767, "activity_lines": [ 30.086667, 30.913663, 31.262325, 30.860956 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }