{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "405218bf-4652-42c9-942f-039cb9bda4e7",
    "symbol": "EASTW",
    "name": "Eastern Water Resources Development and Management Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.701,
    "architecture_energy": 72.003,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.041,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.577,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.29,
        "rotation_up": 78.88,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 55.68,
        "rotation_down": 15.42,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.224667,
        4.952727,
        4.477148,
        4.035252
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 5.5,
    "trend_reference": 3.435272,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.601038,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.000476,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.833043,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 63.832487,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.935124,
    "excess_performance": 1.742799,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.601038,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.363884,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.833043,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.709582,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.638325,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.354546,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.935124,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 46.634947,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 38721600,
      "relative_activity": 2.735896,
      "balance": 46.634947,
      "dry_up": 1.812454,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083497,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.578818,
      "from_high_reference": -0.07563,
      "from_low_reference": 2.153162
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.435272,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.000476,
      "structural_low": 1.893791,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.010101,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002356,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.446757,
        "worst_return": -0.171428,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.043049,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076131,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.87206,
        "worst_return": -0.289285,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.067645,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.146372,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.056719,
        "worst_return": -0.078571,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.349768,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.353492,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.349768,
        "worst_return": -0.349768,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-23",
        "end": "2023-09-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.149758,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 2.983997,
        "relative_strength": 51.5339,
        "stage": 2,
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          3.63376
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 23450800,
        "typical_volume": 11950005.0,
        "trend": 3.208181,
        "fair_value": 2.988594,
        "relative_strength": 55.42822,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 81.563929,
        "energy": 71.414125,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.882,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.2,
        "volume": 13088100,
        "typical_volume": 12407330.0,
        "trend": 3.31573,
        "fair_value": 2.993635,
        "relative_strength": 56.377197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.12774,
        "energy": 69.430478,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.038667,
          4.795455,
          4.321076,
          3.894331
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.5,
        "volume": 38721600,
        "typical_volume": 14153170.0,
        "trend": 3.435272,
        "fair_value": 3.000476,
        "relative_strength": 63.832487,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.701295,
        "energy": 72.00275,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.224667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}