{ "ticker": { "uuid": "406a7dc4-918b-4494-8468-0c4a11d975a3", "symbol": "002173", "name": "Innovative Medical Management Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.288, "architecture_energy": 20.574, "architecture_maturity": 80.49, "architecture_confidence": 68.14, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.87, "rotation_up": 31.91, "upward_expansion": 22.31, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 19.41, "downward_expansion": 53.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.748667, 18.788909, 19.639524, 21.377677 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 21.690001, "trend_reference": 23.930333, "distance_from_trend": -0.093619, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.679359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.585601, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.771082, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.22591, "excess_performance": -0.23331, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093619, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052577, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.585601, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.340095, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097711, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053515, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.22591, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.745022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 339092281, "relative_activity": 2.417451, "balance": 1.745022, "dry_up": 2.226354, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1309, "annualized_volatility": 0.525691, "from_high_reference": -0.433829, "from_low_reference": 0.541578 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.930333, "fair_value_reference": 13.679359, "structural_low": 15.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.055062, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.001762, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.468242, "worst_return": -0.11731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.173979, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.104718, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.380546, "worst_return": -0.248718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.259347, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.209772, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.310284, "worst_return": -0.171171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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21.239904, 22.994408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.57, "volume": 211546301, "typical_volume": 133769607.7, "trend": 24.173333, "fair_value": 13.430449, "relative_strength": -30.269923, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.646823, "energy": 75.192548, "activity_lines": [ 17.421999, 18.173272, 20.659952, 22.558709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.809999, "volume": 220966201, "typical_volume": 135079156.1, "trend": 24.067666, "fair_value": 13.477115, "relative_strength": -22.354157, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.527358, "energy": 59.563313, "activity_lines": [ 17.591999, 17.874545, 20.159476, 22.148172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.809999, "volume": 321339060, "typical_volume": 136944064.15, "trend": 23.990666, "fair_value": 13.534744, "relative_strength": -18.42761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.180897, "energy": 43.885874, "activity_lines": [ 18.061333, 17.883817, 19.817, 21.808967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.540001, "volume": 367752282, "typical_volume": 140878653.35, "trend": 23.924333, "fair_value": 13.598974, "relative_strength": -14.177195, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.717564, "energy": 33.339719, "activity_lines": [ 18.66, 18.108, 19.596904, 21.521828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.690001, "volume": 339092281, "typical_volume": 140268540.8, "trend": 23.930333, "fair_value": 13.679359, "relative_strength": -9.771082, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.287914, "energy": 20.573741, "activity_lines": [ 19.748667, 18.788909, 19.639524, 21.377677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }