{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4076242c-f2ad-4d70-bd50-3714395f5a42",
    "symbol": "SMT",
    "name": "Stars Microelectronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.4,
    "architecture_energy": 72.756,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.012,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.629,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.73,
        "rotation_up": 84.35,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 54.8,
        "rotation_down": 10.52,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.876667,
        4.406545,
        3.651577,
        3.076485
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 5.3,
    "trend_reference": 2.393653,
    "distance_from_trend": 1.214189,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.198818,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.410386,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 150.260704,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 3.515927,
    "excess_performance": 3.323602,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.214189,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.707047,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.410386,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.451997,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.502607,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.10171,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.515927,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.344845,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 235293000,
      "relative_activity": 2.730799,
      "balance": 5.344845,
      "dry_up": 2.125061,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128592,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.702432,
      "from_high_reference": -0.094017,
      "from_low_reference": 4.069767
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.393653,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.198818,
      "structural_low": 1.075,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.012,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048908,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.661575,
        "worst_return": -0.177143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.140239,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.160135,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 2.434358,
        "worst_return": -0.292308,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.149657,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.212255,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.45,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.189809,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.159201,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.609153,
        "worst_return": -0.610993,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 66366440.0,
        "trend": 2.128991,
        "fair_value": 2.188841,
        "relative_strength": 158.04927,
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        "energy": 75.559005,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.78,
        "volume": 171549600,
        "typical_volume": 74661440.0,
        "trend": 2.253148,
        "fair_value": 2.192044,
        "relative_strength": 131.39273,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.138735,
        "energy": 70.370637,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.3,
        "volume": 235293000,
        "typical_volume": 86162685.0,
        "trend": 2.393653,
        "fair_value": 2.198818,
        "relative_strength": 150.260704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.399832,
        "energy": 72.755842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}