{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "407f54fd-67ba-46ed-8b11-8652d9484083",
    "symbol": "603650",
    "name": "Red Avenue New Materials Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.11,
    "architecture_energy": 25.999,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.449,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.811,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.82,
        "rotation_up": 23.86,
        "upward_expansion": 56.6,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 39.98,
        "downward_expansion": 20.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.161999,
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        64.962677,
        62.205239
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 64.519997,
    "trend_reference": 59.706815,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080614,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.123434,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.737986,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 27.038478,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.143779,
    "excess_performance": 0.186983,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080614,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175097,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.737986,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13366,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270385,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079635,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143779,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.985729,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 116367942,
      "relative_activity": 1.474871,
      "balance": 0.985729,
      "dry_up": 1.52915,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.182375,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.686195,
      "from_high_reference": -0.334845,
      "from_low_reference": 1.027334
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.706815,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.123434,
      "structural_low": 46.633153,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.017253,
        "positive_rate": 0.388889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002229,
        "regime_survival": 0.611111,
        "best_return": 0.248662,
        "worst_return": -0.165661,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048118,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
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        "worst_return": -0.167717,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.031198,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032086,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.142093,
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        "best_return": 0.069695,
        "worst_return": -0.439918,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.027329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.024964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035549,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 71027131.9,
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        "fair_value": 36.744187,
        "relative_strength": 31.438144,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 60.490346,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 75262670.05,
        "trend": 59.013517,
        "fair_value": 36.899058,
        "relative_strength": 10.917192,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.281536,
        "energy": 16.670109,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.519997,
        "volume": 116367942,
        "typical_volume": 78900406.4,
        "trend": 59.706815,
        "fair_value": 37.123434,
        "relative_strength": 27.038478,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 26.110159,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}