{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4084cc4f-1bf2-4a3f-8894-b279cca01803", "symbol": "EMAMIREAL", "name": "Emami Realty Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -10.105, "architecture_energy": 35.612, "architecture_maturity": 44.167, "architecture_confidence": 63.845, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.94, "rotation_up": 14.6, "upward_expansion": 49.11, "deceleration": 67.27, "rotation_down": 48.36, "downward_expansion": 45.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.318667, 79.661091, 82.596095, 79.879914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 74.730003, "trend_reference": 76.685333, "distance_from_trend": -0.025498, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 99.585384, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.249589, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.98413, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.046933, "excess_performance": -0.003224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.025498, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016287, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.249589, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.320311, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119841, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.290605, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046933, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.415703, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87812, "relative_activity": 0.482962, "balance": 0.415703, "dry_up": 0.219239, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086434, "annualized_volatility": 0.682021, "from_high_reference": -0.420698, "from_low_reference": 0.550415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.685333, "fair_value_reference": 99.585384, "structural_low": 48.200001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.077505, "positive_rate": 0.076923, "directional_follow_through": 0.076923, "median_excess_return": -0.090949, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.107924, "worst_return": -0.216522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.035917, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.039103, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.32753, "worst_return": -0.146426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.119744, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.044186, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.211643, "worst_return": -0.174116, "sufficient": 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83.087666, 79.686795 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 77.970001, "volume": 89510, "typical_volume": 199792.3, "trend": 77.198666, "fair_value": 99.319487, "relative_strength": -9.782474, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.473252, "energy": 15.012476, "activity_lines": [ 82.808666, 84.953817, 83.149285, 79.720021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 77.360001, "volume": 27662, "typical_volume": 199411.6, "trend": 76.970667, "fair_value": 99.397756, "relative_strength": -10.251315, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.293674, "energy": 13.07083, "activity_lines": [ 80.610666, 83.031454, 83.10019, 79.73043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 79.919998, "volume": 19131, "typical_volume": 198020.05, "trend": 76.954, "fair_value": 99.471282, "relative_strength": -4.287685, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.001031, "energy": 16.233567, "activity_lines": [ 79.675333, 82.081817, 83.240857, 79.92071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.419998, "volume": 24843, "typical_volume": 190739.9, "trend": 76.828333, "fair_value": 99.544166, "relative_strength": -7.658994, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.392874, "energy": 17.155316, "activity_lines": [ 78.945332, 81.137272, 83.149666, 80.01529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.730003, "volume": 87812, "typical_volume": 181819.5, "trend": 76.685333, "fair_value": 99.585384, "relative_strength": -11.98413, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -10.105165, "energy": 35.611863, "activity_lines": [ 77.318667, 79.661091, 82.596095, 79.879914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }