{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40a37fa4-1535-43f5-bfae-3377e9af3a00", "symbol": "VL", "name": "V.L. Enterprise Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 74.415, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.983, "architecture_energy": 17.194, "architecture_maturity": 50.081, "architecture_confidence": 51.34, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.91, "rotation_up": 34.34, "upward_expansion": 62.32, "deceleration": 67.74, "rotation_down": 19.67, "downward_expansion": 4.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.803333, 0.802909, 0.802095, 0.800442 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.81, "trend_reference": 0.795901, "distance_from_trend": 0.017714, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.898222, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098219, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.932318, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071796, "excess_performance": -0.120529, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017714, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010035, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098219, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030996, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139323, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042241, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071796, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 24.496216, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 837400, "relative_activity": 0.81189, "balance": 24.496216, "dry_up": 0.52115, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039886, "annualized_volatility": 0.096948, "from_high_reference": -0.131281, "from_low_reference": 0.375471 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.795901, "fair_value_reference": 0.898222, "structural_low": 0.588889, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.009902, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.031379, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.166666, "worst_return": -0.156522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.056482, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.097117, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.308346, "worst_return": -0.139131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.115977, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.16484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.308346, "worst_return": -0.203462, "sufficient": 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18.265379, "activity_lines": [ 0.804, 0.803273, 0.801404, 0.797784 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.8, "volume": 873900, "typical_volume": 1442485.0, "trend": 0.793265, "fair_value": 0.899702, "relative_strength": -17.870783, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.740205, "energy": 13.305738, "activity_lines": [ 0.802, 0.803091, 0.801357, 0.798251 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.8, "volume": 765900, "typical_volume": 1423810.0, "trend": 0.793759, "fair_value": 0.899154, "relative_strength": -18.107469, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.759529, "energy": 12.097287, "activity_lines": [ 0.801333, 0.802727, 0.801333, 0.798685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8, "volume": 438100, "typical_volume": 1122085.0, "trend": 0.794253, "fair_value": 0.898605, "relative_strength": -17.704932, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.478571, "energy": 11.969156, "activity_lines": [ 0.800667, 0.802182, 0.801286, 0.799088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.8, "volume": 108700, "typical_volume": 1095265.0, "trend": 0.794747, "fair_value": 0.898293, "relative_strength": -16.140941, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.125941, "energy": 11.454593, "activity_lines": [ 0.8, 0.801636, 0.801238, 0.799458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.81, "volume": 837400, "typical_volume": 1031420.0, "trend": 0.795901, "fair_value": 0.898222, "relative_strength": -13.932318, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.983492, "energy": 17.194144, "activity_lines": [ 0.803333, 0.802909, 0.802095, 0.800442 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }