{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40b7f2d9-96ef-4912-be13-b9ec48e78405", "symbol": "002197", "name": "SZZT Electronics CO.,LTD", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.693, "architecture_energy": 22.573, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.441, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.49, "rotation_up": 33.34, "upward_expansion": 22.26, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 27.59, "downward_expansion": 60.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.682667, 6.373818, 6.65119, 7.053699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.19, "trend_reference": 7.706333, "distance_from_trend": -0.067001, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.196731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.000935, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.960155, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.155112, "excess_performance": -0.162511, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.067001, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141897, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.000935, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14421, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022161, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.155112, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.81966, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 330076830, "relative_activity": 2.759629, "balance": 0.81966, "dry_up": 2.464386, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104739, "annualized_volatility": 0.516455, "from_high_reference": -0.367634, "from_low_reference": 0.380038 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.706333, "fair_value_reference": 7.196731, "structural_low": 5.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.031209, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.000961, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.262295, "worst_return": -0.351351, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.003225, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.054853, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.368932, "worst_return": -0.511111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.103024, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.200316, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.543689, "worst_return": -0.656667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 7.237179, "relative_strength": -18.790484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.747649, "energy": 50.85711, "activity_lines": [ 6.086667, 6.110364, 6.676952, 7.171376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.72, "volume": 384124356, "typical_volume": 108428929.4, "trend": 7.804, "fair_value": 7.214423, "relative_strength": -19.460126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.361484, "energy": 35.827601, "activity_lines": [ 6.339333, 6.192727, 6.637857, 7.093312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.19, "volume": 330076830, "typical_volume": 119609152.85, "trend": 7.706333, "fair_value": 7.196731, "relative_strength": -17.960155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.692856, "energy": 22.572988, "activity_lines": [ 6.682667, 6.373818, 6.65119, 7.053699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }