{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40bd60e5-690a-48e6-993d-3072a91d3e24", "symbol": "NVDD", "name": "DIREXION DAILY NVDA BEAR 1X SHARES", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.846, "architecture_energy": 47.056, "architecture_maturity": 42.271, "architecture_confidence": 91.705, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.84, "rotation_up": 18.34, "upward_expansion": 6.57, "deceleration": 45.45, "rotation_down": 55.13, "downward_expansion": 77.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.18922, 32.884185, 33.136102, 34.230923 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.1256, "trend_reference": 35.58389, "distance_from_trend": -0.153392, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 80.021126, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.623529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.717878, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.209822, "excess_performance": -0.397276, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153392, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049714, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.623529, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004292, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052676, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.209822, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.839204, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 824364, "relative_activity": 1.172034, "balance": 0.839204, "dry_up": 1.20418, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087002, "annualized_volatility": 0.360858, "from_high_reference": -0.314228, "from_low_reference": 0.032822 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.58389, "fair_value_reference": 80.021126, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.1256, "volume": 824364, "typical_volume": 703361.9, "trend": 35.58389, "fair_value": 80.021126, "relative_strength": -29.717878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.846067, "energy": 47.056183, "activity_lines": [ 32.18922, 32.884185, 33.136102, 34.230923 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }