{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40df41cc-9279-40c1-922b-d889629796fc", "symbol": "000659", "name": "Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.362, "architecture_energy": 77.345, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.464, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.01, "rotation_up": 12.63, "upward_expansion": 17.42, "deceleration": 41.17, "rotation_down": 72.59, "downward_expansion": 90.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.621333, 2.792364, 3.245524, 3.526043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.8, "trend_reference": 3.864333, "distance_from_trend": -0.275425, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.86391, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.283686, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.411765, "excess_performance": -0.419164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.275425, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015206, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.022316, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.577932, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.222837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.269961, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.411765, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.261613, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 115662504, "relative_activity": 0.757132, "balance": 0.261613, "dry_up": 1.144732, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123352, "annualized_volatility": 0.521573, "from_high_reference": -0.448819, "from_low_reference": 0.261261 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.864333, "fair_value_reference": 2.86391, "structural_low": 2.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.044111, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.006886, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.379562, "worst_return": -0.310638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.001331, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.064392, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.225397, "worst_return": -0.335714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.107595, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.00668, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.912409, "worst_return": -0.431535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 2.46, "volume": 198727239, "typical_volume": 156804744.35, "trend": 3.965333, "fair_value": 2.867308, "relative_strength": -29.826355, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.376704, "energy": 95.815659, "activity_lines": [ 2.819333, 3.158909, 3.567762, 3.784 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.39, "volume": 168145613, "typical_volume": 156413754.15, "trend": 3.936667, "fair_value": 2.865962, "relative_strength": -31.784456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.648677, "energy": 93.925994, "activity_lines": [ 2.620667, 2.967273, 3.432095, 3.682366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.62, "volume": 216959536, "typical_volume": 157505326.55, "trend": 3.906333, "fair_value": 2.864872, "relative_strength": -23.808996, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.105193, "energy": 87.579953, "activity_lines": [ 2.574, 2.849636, 3.327238, 3.597419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.8, "volume": 115662504, "typical_volume": 152763944.0, "trend": 3.864333, "fair_value": 2.86391, "relative_strength": -22.283686, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.362337, "energy": 77.344907, "activity_lines": [ 2.621333, 2.792364, 3.245524, 3.526043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }